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Jane Austin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-08-04 03:31 PM
Original message
Is there a recent Texas poll?
The last one I saw had Bush at 55%.

That's not all that great, and now he's had the 911 testimony and the meltdown in Iraq.

Texas is full of small towns, and more of those kids are dying in Iraq than are city kids.

And I wonder if the Ft. Hood area will be quite as gung ho about the war now.

I'd love to see a more recent poll.
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prodigal_green Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-08-04 03:32 PM
Response to Original message
1. How delicious that would be if Kerry won Texas
(using Quiznos tag line) Mm Mm Mmm Mmm Mm.
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Ishoutandscream Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-08-04 03:39 PM
Response to Original message
2. For our state, Bush at 55% is remarkable
I still see too much support for him here in the metroplex. We'll have to get more of the democratic vote in south and west Texas.

But 55% -- WOW!
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jburton Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-08-04 03:59 PM
Response to Original message
3. Dunno about now
But in 2000 Bush* BARELY won Dallas County.

As in 2000 against Al Gore.

As in our popular Gov Bush.

As in Dallas, the buckle of the freakin Bible Belt.

I'm just waiting for Bush* to have to spend some $$ in TX to win.
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beyurslf Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-08-04 04:33 PM
Response to Original message
4. Is there any where to find good state by state polls
rather than national ones?
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elperromagico Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-08-04 06:23 PM
Response to Reply #4
7. Here's one:
http://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/CurrentPolls.htm

They're missing a lot of polls, so I wouldn't take their numbers as gospel.
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Killarney Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-08-04 04:37 PM
Response to Original message
5. This site has all state polls
but nothing from Texas yet
http://www.davidwissing.com/bushkerrystate2004.html
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Gothmog Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-08-04 05:45 PM
Response to Reply #5
6. I have not seen any polls in a while
Bush is going to carry Texas no matter what. The best we can hope for is that L. Doggett and Martin Frost survive the next election cycle. They have a chance but not a very good one.
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Jane Austin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-08-04 06:45 PM
Response to Reply #6
8. Oh, I think Doggett has a good chance!
His district was set up for a dem Hispanic, but he won the primary.

I don't think the district is Repub at all.
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INTELBYTES Donating Member (881 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Apr-10-04 07:56 AM
Response to Reply #8
22. Isn't that one of the districts that tom delay jilted towards his buddies?
If I recall, Doggett might have a fight on his hands now.
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salonghorn70 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-08-04 08:25 PM
Response to Original message
9. Kerry Will Do Better than Gore
Kerry won't carry Texas. But he will do better than Gore. I think that he could get 45%. He could carry San Antonio.
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newyawker99 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-09-04 08:45 AM
Response to Reply #9
17. Hi salonghorn70!!
Welcome to DU!! :toast:
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Ilsa Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-08-04 09:48 PM
Response to Original message
10. I'm running to more and more
Texans who will not vote for Shrub. They'll either stay home or (in some cases hold their noses and) vote for Kerry.

I think good voter registration could turn Texas for Kerry!
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DaveSZ Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-08-04 10:57 PM
Response to Reply #10
11. Clinton almost won Texas in 1996
I think it was about 3-4% points.
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Hippo_Tron Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-09-04 12:23 AM
Response to Reply #11
12. Yeah but against Bob Dole
At least when chimpy speaks I can stay mildly entertained counting his lies or laughing and something he says. Bob Dole just put people to sleep.
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Hippo_Tron Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-09-04 12:53 AM
Response to Original message
13. Texas will be worthwhile for dem candidate to campaign for in 2012
Or 2008 assuming the worst happens and Kerry doesn't win the election. Kerry will be stuck with Chimp's messes and thus will not win any traditionally red states when he goes up for re-election. However, Texas is heading blue and four more years of chimp fucking things up could lead to a dem landslide victory including Texas in 2008. However I'd MUCH rather we win in 2004 so that we don't have to live through four more years of the chimp.
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Mayberry Machiavelli Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-09-04 01:54 AM
Response to Original message
14. I'm getting junkmail crap from shrubco. Including the puke inducing pic
of shrub and spouse. I think they just blanket my affluent North Dallas suburb because they assume everyone there is a Pub. And they're probably right about 90% of the time.
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Mayberry Machiavelli Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-09-04 01:56 AM
Response to Original message
15. Even though I expect TX to go at least 7-10% for the shrub, I don't
rule anything out. A fired up Dem base, some apathetic and complacent Pub voters, sprinkle with a couple percent switch due to unhappiness about Iraq, and you got a recipe for some real TX barbecue. The unthinkable. I know it's a pipe dream but it's not impossible.
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Lexingtonian Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-09-04 05:10 AM
Response to Original message
16. that's about right

Texas is creeping away from the right wingers at a clip of ~1% a year. Gore and Nader got about 40-41% between them in '00, Sanchez and Kirk about 42-43% in '02. So y'all are looking at the Texas Democratic Party reviving in '06 and '08 and contending for majority in the state in '10 and '12.

The Republican fervor all over has been gone since late last fall, really. They're watching Washington and the polls and wondering if they really are on ice as thin as it seems.
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Gothmog Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-09-04 02:11 PM
Response to Reply #16
18. Gore Carried Houston/Harris County
Gore did carry Houston/Harris County at 52% to 48%. A year latter, Lee Brown running as a democrat against an announced Republican Hispanic carried Houston by a similar percentage. Both Barbara Bush and Bush 41 campaigned for the republican. Bush 43 also did a couple of commercials for the republican.
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Jane Austin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-09-04 05:11 PM
Response to Reply #18
19. Pretty sure Austin and Travis County
went for Gore, too.
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Caromill Donating Member (72 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-09-04 06:17 PM
Response to Original message
20. You heard it here first (or last)
I live in the only Democratic stronghold in Texas, and I can just about guarantee you that there is no way in hell Kerry will even come close to Bush in Texas. I wish it weren't true, but we have to be realistic. We're trying to figure out a way to move to New Mexico, which is still a civilized state.
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Hippo_Tron Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Apr-09-04 10:22 PM
Response to Original message
21. Don't get your hopes up, I think we are going to put Nader there...
I think when he meets with Kerry, they'll agree for Nader to stay out of swing states like Ohio. I think Nader will be spending most of his time campaigning in Texas.
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