New Marist New York Poll

http://www.maristpoll.marist.edu/nyspolls/GV040419.htm

Kerry 54
Bush 37
Nader 5
Undecided 4

Welcome to New York this August, Dub!:evilgrin:

B-)

Big mistake in picking NYC.

west.

Which, I'm sure, is the plan.

In '72, Nixon's advance men were told to schedule events that would result in protests because Nixon new the protests would help win the votes of key swing demographics.

It worked for Nixon. He won in '72.

Although if this was a normal year Bush would have the higher numbers. Races always tighten the closer it gets to election day.

He is a disgrace.

50 states with a pre-election double-digit lead for Kerry MIGHT be enough to override BBV fraud.

But if the polls leaned that high, there would probably be a LIHOP/Martial law event of some kind...

his convention should be fun.

The post-convention bounce may push Bush over the 40% threshold for as long as a week. The sky is falling!

That would make me very happy.

The curent polls are turning history on its head, as in the antional polls, at this point, the incumbent should have a significant lead.

Most polls are showing that Bush has almost completely lost the dross party support of the "Reagan DEmocrats" who seem to have totally vanished. In past polls, someplace between 10 and 12 percent of Democrats would swing over and polls supporting the republican candidate, and right now this number is polling at about 2-3 percebt, while the percentage of Republicans who will swing over to vote Democrats is shrinking is it still larger than the reverser crossover in every poll. The only thing that has kept republicans winning over the last quarter century has been the crossover from registered democrats, and this element has all but disappeared from the polls.

Gore won NY (my state) 60% to 35%, so honestly, I'm a little worried about Kerry "only" being up 17% here. Of course, NY will go to Kerry, but that's not the point; if he wins NY by, let's say, less than 15%, I think he'll lose nationally.

Gore carried NY by over two million.

Gore did not have a lead this big in New York at anytime, much less before the convention. His crushing of Bush in NY was larger than expected.