Election Projection 2004 Edition - Kerry Wins as of 4/13

Hope this hasn't been posted already, didn't see anything.

http://www.electionprojection.com/elections2004.html

ack! edited to clarify... I hope the 4/13 is right! I didnt see their prediction that Bush* would win!

That is by no means assured.

In fact they had a piece on 21 reasons why Bush will win which I found disturbing.

The blogging Caesar has Bush winning OH and Kerry picking up PA and FL. Possible. I didn't that was a reflection of the latest polls, though.

These seem to be the three key swing states, though. If Kerry picks up two -- any two -- he wins. That's about the size of it.

If Bush picks up two, Kerry has to run the smaller swing states: WV, NM, NH NV, LA, etc -- to have a chance.

Check out his Comments section. He answers a comment from a Repug in New Jersey talking abou the futility of voting for Repugs there b/c they often lose. Here's his response:

"I'm so glad you like the site. It seems to have connected with a lot of political fans out there. I'm sure it must be depressing to vote for the good guys in a state like New Jersey. Don't give up the fight, though, New Jersey might just be in play come November. If Bush can get his job approval numbers up to 60 or so by November, we'll see a huge landslide. A landslide that might include a red New Jersey. Even without that, every vote counts. Remember 2000 - the last thing we need is another election where the Dems win the popular vote."

There's more down in the blog. Still, at least he appears to call it like he sees it although the info. is a tad dated.

Yes this guy is a repub., that is why I find it even more interesting to have Kerry winning. Today was the first time I have seen this site, so I don't know how often he updates his map.

Just thought it was interesting.

In fact I bookmarked it. And I agree, it's more interesting to see someone on the other side look at it with some sense of ojbectivity.

Especially on top of the article "21 Reasons Why Bush Will Win"...LOL

Wrap it up, I'll take it.

I don't really understand why they have Florida go blue (I just mean, I haven't seen any polls to that effect yet)..