Poll: Kerry Leads California by 12, with Nader Kerry leads by 10

Los Angeles Times Poll. April 17-21, 2004. N=1,265 registered voters statewide. MoE ± 3 (total sample):


"If the November general election for president were being held today and the candidates were George W. Bush, the Republican, and John Kerry, the Democrat, for whom would you vote: Bush or Kerry?" Names rotated


Bush Kerry Someone Else (vol.) Don't Know
% % % %
ALL 41 53 - 6
Democrats 11 82 1 6
Independents 42 50 1 7
Republicans 80 15 - 5
Trend:
2/18-22/04 40 53 - 7
.

"If the November general election for president were being held today and the candidates were George W. Bush, the Republican, John Kerry, the Democrat, and Ralph Nader, running as an independent, for whom would you vote: Bush, Kerry or Nader?" Names rotated


Bush Kerry Nader Don't Know
% % % %
ALL 39 49 6 6
Democrats 9 80 4 7
Independents 40 44 10 6
Republicans 78 14 3 5
.

"Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president?"


Approve Disapprove Don't Know
% % %
Among registered voters:

4/17-21/04 44 54 2
2/18-22/04 47 51 2
1/02 75 22 3
Among likely voters:

8/03 52 46 2
9/02 54 43 3
Among all adults:

6-7/03 56 39 5
2-3/03 48 48 4
.

"Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling the situation in Iraq?"

Approve Disapprove Don't Know
% % %
4/17-21/04 41 56 3
.

"Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling the war on terrorism?"

.

Approve Disapprove Don't Know
% % %
4/17-21/04 49 48 3
.

"Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling the economy?"

.

Approve Disapprove Don't Know
% % %
4/17-21/04 42 53 5
.

"Would you say you, yourself, are better off financially than you were when George W. Bush became president more than three years ago, or worse off, or in about the same financial shape as you were then?"

.

Better Worse Same Don't Know
% % % %
4/17-21/04 22 23 54 1
.

.

http://www.pollingreport.com/sub/ca2004.htm
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I find that a little hard to believe.

your question.

11% of Democrats say they're voting for Bush; 15% of Republicans say they're voting for Kerry. What's hard to believe?

In both polls there were 6% undecided so we can pretty much ignore them. When Nader is added to the mix he takes 4% away from Kerry and 2% away from Bush.

I'm just saying I find it ahrd to believe that there are 2% of the voters out there who prefer Bush to Kerry but prefer Nader to both of them. This is the third poll I've seen implying Nader takes a lot more from Bush than people think.

Most posters here say things like "but Nader took five points in that poll and you KNOW they all came from Kerry".

                                Someone 
             Bush      Kerry     Else   Don't Know 
ALL           41        53         -         6 
Democrats     11        82         1         6 
Independents  42        50         1         7 
Republicans   80        15         -         5 

:headbang:
rocknation

That's all you need to do?