Statistical analysis of one legislative district in Washington state

There is no registration by party, so we depend on canvassing and checking public donor records to assign voters statistical points indicating probable party. The numbers are the delegates from precinct caucuses. We have the legislative district caucuses on 4/5. I didn't include the 16 uncommitted in the totals.

Clinton
Democrats 155 54%
Independents 7 2%
Republicans 7 2%
Unknown 119 41%
Totals 288 100%

Obama
Democrats 255 41%
Independents 16 3%
Republicans 19 3%
Unknown 330 53%
Totals 620 100%

They aren't too different in drawing Republicans or Independents by percentage. The Repub caucuses were on the same day as ours, though. The Unknown category refers to people that we have not canvassed and have insufficient information about to determine party leanings. The larger percent of unknows for Obama indicates that he is bringing more new people in, but the differences in the percent unknowns isn't really large.

I got the data from VoteBuilder.

The 18-24 range didn't account for large percentages for either candidate.

I compiled the data from all precinct caucus goers for the 11th from 2004, and the change is astonishing.


Party Voters Percent
Democrat 735 94%
Independent  6 1%
Republican 1 0%
Unknown     38 5%