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Despite Wright Controversy Hillary's lead still shrinks in PA!

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Yes We Did Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-18-08 09:59 PM
Original message
Despite Wright Controversy Hillary's lead still shrinks in PA!
Edited on Tue Mar-18-08 10:04 PM by demdog78
Hillary was leading by 19% just two weeks ago, and despite everything that came of the Wright comments, Obama has still managed to cut 2% off her lead.

Just wait until his speech really makes the rounds!

GOBAMA!!!


Poll Date Sample Clinton Obama Spread

RCP AVERAGE 03/05 to 03/16 - 52.7% 35.7% Clinton +17.0%

PPP (D) 03/15 - 03/16 597 LV 56% 30% Clinton +26%
Quinnipiac 03/10 - 03/16 1304 LV 53% 41% Clinton +12%
Rasmussen 03/12 - 03/12 697 LV 51% 38% Clinton +13%
SurveyUSA 03/08 - 03/10 608 LV 55% 36% Clinton +19%
Susquehanna 03/05 - 03/10 500 LV 45% 31% Clinton +14%
Strategic Vision (R) 03/07 - 03/09 600 LV 56% 38% Clinton +18%

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/pennsylvania.html
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meow mix Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-18-08 10:03 PM
Response to Original message
1. I Never Worried For One Second!!
i noticed some shuffling of feet recently.

this is for you nervous ones =)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x7-iFDyVb2c
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Yes We Did Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-18-08 10:06 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. A Hillary supporter accidently tipped me to this.
... Was trying to fudge the numbers, so I checked their link. I couldn't stop laughing!

Do they think we still believe anything they say?
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meow mix Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-18-08 10:10 PM
Response to Reply #2
4. well.. its got numbers n stuff..
math is hard =)
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Upton Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-18-08 10:09 PM
Response to Original message
3. There's one problem
outside of PPP and Quinnipac the rest of those look to have been taken before Rev. Wright hit the news.
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skids Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-18-08 10:32 PM
Response to Reply #3
5. math lesson

If you have a set of N numbers and you know the average of those N numbers went down by 2%.

And you know only two of those numbers changed.

You also know that the average of the two numbers that changed went down by more than 2%.



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papau Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-18-08 11:28 PM
Response to Reply #5
6. true - her lead was never going to be 20 - and latest sets it at 8 to 10%
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skids Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Mar-18-08 11:37 PM
Response to Reply #6
7. Yeah the OP isn't right either...

...looking back at the chart there never was a 19%.

Though right now they just added that PPP poll new, so I dunno if the graphs can be trusted until that's been in the mix for a while. Don't know how they splice new polls in.

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roguevalley Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-19-08 01:53 PM
Response to Reply #5
8. wahhhh? Skids, you are my new god. I was a victim of new math.
:)
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UALRBSofL Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Mar-19-08 01:55 PM
Response to Original message
9. I'm just curious what the poll shows today in PA
Because it looks like those polls were taken 3 to 5 days ago.










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