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Obama Loses Big to McCain in Rasmussen Poll; Clinton Not So Much

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Misanthrope2 Donating Member (102 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 12:53 AM
Original message
Obama Loses Big to McCain in Rasmussen Poll; Clinton Not So Much
From Saturday's Rasmussen daily presidential tracking poll:

Daily Presidential Tracking Poll
Saturday, March 22, 2008

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Saturday shows ongoing volatility in the Democratic Presidential Nomination. Nationally, Hillary Clinton now holds a very slight advantage over Barack Obama, 46% to 44%. Before the story broke about his former Pastor, Obama led Clinton by eight percentage points (see recent daily results). While the national polls remain close, Rasmussen Markets data gives Obama a 79.5 % chance to win the Democratic nomination while expectations for a Clinton victory are at 20.3 %.

Looking ahead to the General Election in November, John McCain continues to lead both potential Democratic opponents. McCain leads Barack Obama 49% to 41% and Hillary Clinton 49% to 43% (see recent daily results).

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll


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Hepburn Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 12:55 AM
Response to Original message
1. Ignore.
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loveangelc Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 12:56 AM
Response to Original message
2. lol 2 points diff.
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jackson_dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 12:59 AM
Response to Reply #2
6. About a month ago the difference was 10 points--in favor of Obama...
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loveangelc Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 01:05 AM
Response to Reply #6
8. wow...!! I guess poll numbers can actually fluctuate.
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jackson_dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 02:02 PM
Response to Reply #8
61. 12 points in one month. This is the first month Obama has taken hits
He apparently has a glass jaw and has a long way to go in the negative category. How many points will he lose by the convention? Oh well. The superdelegates will know what to do if Obama is down 10 points by the convention while Clinton is tied or slightly ahead of McCain.

Why didn't those numbers fluctuate over the past year? Surely you remember Obama used to consistently do better than Clinton against the rethugs.
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roguevalley Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 02:42 AM
Response to Reply #6
33. we haven't even started on McCain. He's going to be swiss
cheese. I could debate his sorry ass and win. He's got savings and loan scandals, lobbyist ties up the ass, cancer, a dipster wife who is his second who is a wingnut from hell who stole from kids to get drugs, no grasp of details on anything remotely related to the economy, a jones for war that puts caligula to shame, miles of videos showing him warmongering and other fuck ups, Joe Lieberman ... shall I continue?

His party is in disarray, the RNC has had millions stolen and can't raise dick from anyone and he practically sleeps with Bush.

Obama will blow him off the map in the first debate.

I could beat McCain. Hillary loves him too much to kick him in the nuts, he's such a patriotic and talented he-man don't you know.

Obama will destroy him. Count on it. McCain can't even get the bad guys right. He has 11Million$. Period.

Don't kid yourself. It hasn't even started.
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myrna minx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 11:01 AM
Response to Reply #33
53. roguevalley 08!
:hi: I love this post. For all of the worriers out there, this is OUR campaign to lose.
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jackson_dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 02:00 PM
Response to Reply #33
60. Yes but the rethugs haven't started on Obama either
And evidently Obama has a glass jaw...
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futureliveshere Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 05:34 PM
Response to Reply #60
65. Only nomination poll is relevant right now.
Hillary has been relatively discrete(barring the McCain endorsement), but her campaign more than made up for that with their vicious attacks. And Obama has not yet even begun targeting McCain, so this poll is way too premature. The only number that really reflects current concerns is the one about winning the nomination.
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Misanthrope2 Donating Member (102 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 10:10 AM
Response to Reply #6
42. Thanks for the perspective.
It's a big negative swing. It may continue as people know more about Obama. It will be interesting to see what happens to Clinton.
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Webster Green Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 12:56 AM
Response to Original message
3. Opposite world
BS!
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SoCalDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 11:30 AM
Response to Reply #3
57. Like the Bizarro Superman comics
:)
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ElsewheresDaughter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 12:57 AM
Response to Original message
4. good news!
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emilyg Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 01:58 AM
Response to Reply #4
20. Yes it is.
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peoli Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 12:58 AM
Response to Original message
5. I care about polls.
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Speck Tater Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 01:04 AM
Response to Original message
7. Breaking. Latest polls:
Clinton wins big.
Obama wins big.
McCain wins big.
Clinton poll numbers soar.
Obama poll numbers soar.
Obama in freefall.
Clinton has lost for sure.
Obama can't win now.
Clinton in the dumpster.
McCain will take it all.
McCain doesn't stand a chance against Clinton.
Obama will beat McCain in a landslide.
etc.
etc.
etc.
ad nauseum.

Enough already!!!
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FARAFIELD Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 01:17 AM
Response to Original message
9. Loses BIG? with a 2 point difference
Thats like saying hillary loses to mccain like we beat DoLE in 96 *not so much*, ill be glad when she give up we can get on to McCAIN
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Misanthrope2 Donating Member (102 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 10:11 AM
Response to Reply #9
43. Obama behind McCain by 8 points. N/T
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anonymous171 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 01:17 AM
Response to Original message
10. OMG TWO POINTS! THIS IS HUGH!@#?!@
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Misanthrope2 Donating Member (102 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 10:11 AM
Response to Reply #10
44. Obama behind McCain by 8 points. N/T
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PM7nj Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 11:26 AM
Response to Reply #44
56. Clinton behind be 6 points... SHE STILL LOSES
Doesn't matter if it is 6 or 8... both lose. This is why we need to move on!
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SoCalDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 11:31 AM
Response to Reply #56
58. In Bizarro-world, the 2nd place loser is better than the first place loser
Edited on Sun Mar-23-08 11:32 AM by SoCalDem
:eyes:
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rocktivity Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 01:28 AM
Response to Original message
11. Get thee behind me, polls!
UNCLEAN! UNCLEAN!!!!



x(
rocknation
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PerfectSage Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 01:32 AM
Response to Original message
12. I absolve you of the sin of being a mediocre thread starter.
So how many times has gallop & raz tracking polls for today been been posted on DU?
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Misanthrope2 Donating Member (102 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 10:19 AM
Response to Reply #12
51. I don't know. How many?
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Eurobabe Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 01:37 AM
Response to Original message
13. R-ASS-mussen, REPUBE polling firm, come on.
:eyes:

Think they don't want Obama as the nominee? Uh, yup.
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Thepricebreaker Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 01:50 AM
Response to Reply #13
15. LOL your beyond wrong.. Rass was the most accurate 2004 and 2006 elections..
They are VERY VERY reliable..
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maximusveritas Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 01:52 AM
Response to Reply #15
18. That's not true. He was definitely not the most accurate in 2006
and he is definitely a conservative Republican who does commentary for Fox News and his polls regularly skew Republican.
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Thepricebreaker Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 01:56 AM
Response to Reply #18
19. What? Rasmussen is VERY respected.. You going to quote Zogby and Gallup? they dont compare...
Edited on Sun Mar-23-08 01:57 AM by Thepricebreaker
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maximusveritas Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 02:02 AM
Response to Reply #19
22. Zogby's just as bad; Gallup is much better
There have been polls of the pollsters and Gallup ranks near the top every time. Rasmussen is near the bottom with Zogby.
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Thepricebreaker Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 02:10 AM
Response to Reply #22
23. So your saying Ras is more rightwing then Gallup? Omg.. CNN/GALLUP
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roguevalley Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 02:45 AM
Response to Reply #23
34. They all suck.Or have you forgotten New hampshire?
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Misanthrope2 Donating Member (102 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 10:13 AM
Response to Reply #22
45. Remember Zogby in California? What a big miss.
Never trust Zogby who won't reveal his methodology and missed California by a mile.
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SoCalDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 11:34 AM
Response to Reply #22
59. RCP...the AVERAGE of ALL polls
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Eurobabe Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 08:22 AM
Response to Reply #15
41. Call bullshit. Talk to me when you have 10K posts.
:hi:
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Ron Green Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 01:43 AM
Response to Original message
14. This is the same shit I heard today on right-wing talk radio. Who are you,
anyway???
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Thepricebreaker Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 01:51 AM
Response to Reply #14
16. So we only post the pro clinton and obama polls? and blow smoke up each others ass??
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rodeodance Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 02:28 AM
Response to Reply #14
29. Real LAME
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rodeodance Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 02:29 AM
Response to Reply #14
30. WHO are you to be listening to the RW and then coming here and crying?
sarcasem
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Misanthrope2 Donating Member (102 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 10:14 AM
Response to Reply #14
46. I am a former elected Democrat, trial lawyer and long time activist.
Who are you?
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Ron Green Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 05:31 PM
Response to Reply #46
64. My name is Ron, and
I care enough about the Democratic party to call for Hillary Clinton to end her vain and hopeless campaign, and for other Democrats to unite behind our better remaining candidate rather than repeating the same crap the corporate shills are screaming non-stop.
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Thepricebreaker Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 01:52 AM
Response to Original message
17. but but but.. I thought McCain was old and no one will vote for him.. LETS STOP UNDERESTIMATING!
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LulaMay Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 01:59 AM
Response to Original message
21. Thank you for posting some reality.
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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 02:12 AM
Response to Original message
24. I was just in Amsterdam, and even I was not as High as you obviously are
8 points vs. 6 points. Are you for realz?
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rodeodance Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 02:30 AM
Response to Reply #24
31. too bad
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Melinda Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 02:18 AM
Response to Original message
25. Vote Clinton - she doesn't lose by as much.
:eyes:
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Taxmyth Donating Member (990 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 02:23 AM
Response to Reply #25
26. Sounds like a plan
to me.
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angie_love Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 02:23 AM
Response to Original message
27. LOL! 2 points , wow a huge difference!!
:rofl:
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rodeodance Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 02:33 AM
Response to Reply #27
32. Lame
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angie_love Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 02:51 AM
Response to Reply #32
36. the title of this thread is lame? yeah I know right!
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lligrd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 02:23 AM
Response to Original message
28. Either Way We Lose
Luckily the poll is irrelevant since we haven't yet begun to campaign against McCain. I don't think his 100 year war and lack of economic knowledge will get him far.
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McCamy Taylor Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 02:46 AM
Response to Original message
35. McCain has not been campaigned against. These polls mean nothing.
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Misanthrope2 Donating Member (102 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 10:16 AM
Response to Reply #35
47. Some truth there.
What do you think will damage him in the campaign to the extent that 24-7 Rev. Wright commercials will do to Obama?

There is Keating 5, drug and theft prone wife and flip flops on torture and taxes. I don't think those will cost him much among the Republicans.

Got anything else?
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JimboDem Donating Member (287 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 03:54 AM
Response to Original message
37. Sink This
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Misanthrope2 Donating Member (102 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 10:18 AM
Response to Reply #37
49. What does that mean?
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davidinalameda Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 04:11 AM
Response to Original message
38. there is just NO way I can support Obama now
thank you SO much for posting this

:sarcasm:

go back under your bridge


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TheDonkey Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 04:28 AM
Response to Original message
39. Oh Nooooooeeeez! 2% difference. Christmas is canceled!!
:( :( :(
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Misanthrope2 Donating Member (102 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 10:17 AM
Response to Reply #39
48. Obama behind McCain by 8 points. N/T
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Political Heretic Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 04:31 AM
Response to Original message
40. Two percengate points within the margine of error. The real point is that BOTH candiates are losing
Both candidates. Trying to make a thing out of two percentage points within the margin of error is just silly.

The real issue is that this protracted nomination process continues to hurt the democratic party and weaken BOTH CANDIDATES standing for the general.

We need a nominee and we need one RIGHT NOW.
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Buzz Clik Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 10:19 AM
Response to Original message
50. One year ago, Hillary Clinton had no competition on the Democratic side according to Rasmussen.
I love polls. :sarcasm:
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book_worm Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 10:54 AM
Response to Original message
52. stupid post which says Obama loses big (8%) while Clinton nos so much (6%)
misleading and stupid. This poster has obviously not heard of moe. There is little difference between Obama and Clinton. The difference is slightly more undecideds.
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mckeown1128 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 11:04 AM
Response to Original message
54. Operation HRC-2012 a success. n/t
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neverforget Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 11:24 AM
Response to Original message
55. Ahhhhhh 6-8 points! We're doomed! Doomed I tell you!
It's March. Lots of time to paint McCain as McBush.
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fujiyama Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 02:20 PM
Response to Original message
62. The numbers you post
don't look good for either candidate.

And 2 points is within the margin of error anyways, so her "lead" is statistically meaningless.
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JoFerret Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 03:09 PM
Response to Original message
63. these polls mean very little.
nothing in fact
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shayes51 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-23-08 05:50 PM
Response to Original message
66. Obama will carry no more than five states
if he is the nominee.
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OPERATIONMINDCRIME Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-24-08 05:31 PM
Response to Original message
67. .
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