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1. Desire to watch a entertaining/extraordinary political spectacle. 2. Hope to win the lottery for their preferred candidate. 3. Ulterior motive (wants to see Dems hurt) 4. Idealistic motive - Believes selecting a candidate in the heat of the convention is good for the party because of public interest, and because tired of the staged aspects of modern party nominating conventions.
From the point of view of the Democratic Leadership, a brokered convention is the last thing they want. Pelosi, Reid, and Dean have all said no to a brokered convention, no to intense floor fights at 1:30am, no to raw anger, confusion and
I personally think they have a collection of pretty good arguments against a brokered convention, first and foremost that history says it's a sure way to lose an election.
All political junkies have a little bit of reason number one inside us. I think #1 is the best argument for a brokered convention, although I don't think it's a good enough argument for a brokered convention.
Reason #2 is just plain irresponsible. You might get lucky or the country might get who knows? Reid? Anything is possible in a brokered convention (see #1)so it's kind of a crap shoot fatalistic move. It's selfish like your kid who wants their sibling to do a do-over on the coin toss they lost. I don't think the country would take kindly to Gore or Edwards getting the nom after what we've been through. Everybody would be like 'what's the point?' #2 is the fantasizer's number of choice. Spawns complex fantasies about how favorite political figure triumphs in front of the convention and the world.
Reason #3 is pretty self explanatory. Rush likes reason's 1 through 3. He'd love to see a brokered convention. I also bet a brokered Dem convention would work for 3rd party and Independent candidates. As the raw passion, paranoia, and political infighting break out across the convention floor, a lot of sad weary disillusioned people are going to be looking for a place to go in the aftermath.
Reason #4 is the second best reason to be for a brokered convention, but it's lame. The old days are gone because they caused too many problems. Like all institutions, the Dem party is loath to change, so there are a plethora of rules and procedures that may or may not make sense or may make sense to some but not to others. The time to deal with process is before the big show, or after the big show, not on opening night.
I'm pretty sure there won't be a brokered convention. I'm betting we will have a universally presumed candidate by June 9th at the latest, and probably earlier.
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