Hillary Clinton And Barack Obama Are Both Tied Against McCain -They Both Lose 51% -41%

Looking ahead to the General Election in November, John McCain continues to lead both potential Democratic opponents. McCain leads Barack Obama 51% to 41% and Hillary Clinton 51% to 41% (see recent daily results). McCain is now viewed favorably by 56% of voters nationwide and unfavorably by 41%. Obama’s reviews are 46% favorable and 52% unfavorable. For Clinton, those numbers are 44% favorable, 54% unfavorable (see recent daily results).


http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

:(

But Gallup and WSJ/NBC are polling registered voters...Rasmussen is using a likely voter model which has a tighter screen...

And Rasmussen has a Republican bias...

At this point in the election cycle -- before any fear of the unknown has set in -- challengers are often running much better against their incumbent-party opponents. In 1988, Michael Dukakis had about a 10-point lead over George Bush (the senior and then-vice-president), only to lose by around eight -- an 18-point swing.

Ditto in 2000. George Bush (the younger) had about a similar 10-point lead over Al Gore at this stage, only to see the lead shrink to nothing by Election Day.

In fact, that's been the usual pattern. In 1976, Carter led Gerald Ford by 10 points in the spring, and even McGovern in the spring of 1972 found himself running roughly even with Richard Nixon (albeit with a potential George Wallace third-party candidacy in the mix). By November, the incumbent had surged considerably in both cases.

Even in 2004, John Kerry ended up doing worse in November than he had in the spring, at least according to the CNN/Gallup poll that gave him a five-point lead in April.

The only modern exceptions to this involved Bill Clinton, in 1992, and Ronald Reagan, in 1980. In both elections, the insurgents came from behind. But both faced notably different circumstances than Obama does.

First, Clinton and Reagan got to run against unpopular incumbents. McCain is not George Bush -- no matter how much Obama may try to tie the two together.


http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2008/03/why_obama_faces_an_uphill_batt.html

Most people are not paying attention. Not real attention. Once the Dems stop fighting and settle on Obama, then the comparisons start to become meaningful.

You may be right about past trends but I don't think this election is like any of the others.

We haven't started campaigning against McCain yet. And we're six months out.

GET THEE BEYOND ME POLLS!
UNCLEAN! UNCLEAN!!!



:headbang:
rocknation

and those numbers were completely different than the numbers I heard this morning and those numbers will be different than the number I hear tonight, etc, etc, etc....

he will die from high blood pressure or a heart attack. As angry as he gets it won't be long until he drops dead. It's a wonder that he hasn't died already. He's already totally senile.

...alarming right now

Not.

It also shows that Obama's favorable - unfavorable rating is almost the same as Hillary's:

Looking ahead to the General Election in November, John McCain continues to lead both potential Democratic opponents. McCain leads Barack Obama 51% to 41% and Hillary Clinton 51% to 41%. McCain is now viewed favorably by 56% of voters nationwide and unfavorably by 41%. Obama’s reviews are 46% favorable and 52% unfavorable. For Clinton, those numbers are 44% favorable, 54% unfavorable.