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It takes 270 electoral votes for a Presidental win. Post your electoral prediction! (dialup warning)

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Hawkeye-X Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-03-08 01:28 PM
Original message
It takes 270 electoral votes for a Presidental win. Post your electoral prediction! (dialup warning)
http://www.270towin.com/

Here is what I am predicting - realistically for Barack Obama that he will win the following states



Here's one without FL, MI, OH or PA: (Obama still wins)



Here's one without FL or MI: (Obama still wins)



And finally, here's one for Hillary: (Hillary loses big time)



So, you are free to make your own predictions here - please post your Hillary or Obama scenarios - I'd be interested to see what *YOU* think.

http://www.270towin.com/
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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-03-08 01:35 PM
Response to Original message
1. As of Right Now, this is what I see happening for Obama
Edited on Thu Apr-03-08 01:36 PM by hnmnf


Obama wins 298-240
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woolldog Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-03-08 01:39 PM
Response to Original message
2. hey hawkeye how do you create that snapshot?
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Hawkeye-X Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-03-08 01:47 PM
Response to Reply #2
6. easy-peasy
When you have the page up on your screen,, hit shift-printscreen (right next to scroll lock) - it will copy the entire screen to a clipboard. Use your favorite paint/photo program - I use MSPaint for this one (easy) and then I hit control-v to paste the whole thing, and save it under a .jpg or .png file. Then I upload it to tinypic.com

:)
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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-03-08 01:43 PM
Response to Original message
3. Heres what I got for Clinton as we speak
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Texas Hill Country Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-03-08 01:46 PM
Response to Original message
4. The way i figure it... Clinton 334-204, Obama ties.
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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-03-08 01:47 PM
Response to Reply #4
5. How does Clinton get to 334?
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Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-03-08 01:50 PM
Response to Original message
7. No Democrat is going to win Ohio while losing Illinois.
Same goes for no Democrat is going to win Virginia while losing Michigan.
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DadOf2LittleAngels Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-03-08 02:02 PM
Response to Original message
8. Your Hill prediction is way off
McCain win MI? very unlikely, McCain win IL? Damn near impossible
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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-03-08 02:03 PM
Response to Reply #8
9. A McCain win in Michigan is not that unlikely, but a win in IL is very unlikely.
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SoCalDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-03-08 02:04 PM
Response to Original message
10. map--obama
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woolldog Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-03-08 02:06 PM
Response to Original message
11. Here's my Obama-McCain map! 294-244
Edited on Thu Apr-03-08 02:09 PM by woolldog


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woolldog Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-03-08 02:14 PM
Response to Original message
12. My Hillary-McCain map
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Hawaii Hiker Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-03-08 02:22 PM
Response to Original message
13. Illinois red??? - Not a chance, CA, NY, IL
will stay blue regardless if its Clinton or Obama...
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Bill219 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-03-08 02:30 PM
Response to Original message
14. This morning on Morning Joe
Russert was playing with the numbers and he actually came to one scenario where it was tied at 269-269

but no worries because we have the majority in the House who would resolve the tie.

He also showed a way Obama can win without Florida and Ohio
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woolldog Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-03-08 02:31 PM
Response to Reply #14
15. I have Obama losing ohio and florida
and still winning convincingly.
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book_worm Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-03-08 02:44 PM
Response to Original message
16. How I think Obama wins without Ohio or Florida (not that I don't think he couldn't win them)
but I'm doing the least case scenerio:

He sweeps the NE like every Dem since '92 has:
New York
Pennsylvania
Massachusetts
Connecticut
Rhode Island
New Jersey
DC
Maine
New Hampshire
Vermont


Total: 104 electoral votes (and yes, just because he lost NY, NJ and MA to Hillary he will win them in November)

In the Midwest:
Michigan
Illinois
Minnesota
Wisconsin
Iowa

Total: 65 electoral votes

In the South/Border:
Virginia
DC
Maryland

Total: 26 electoral votes

In the West:
New Mexico
Colorado
Nevada
Washington
Oregon
California
Hawaii

Total: 96 electoral votes.

Total: 23 states plus DC for 291 electoral votes.

My best case scenerio I think that Obama could win Ohio, Missouri, Kansas, one of the Dakota's (not sure which), Montana, North Carolina, South Carolina, Georgia (depending on how strong the African-American vote is in NC, SC, and GA).
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gmudem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-03-08 02:47 PM
Response to Original message
17. I can see Obama winning without Ohio and Florida
Although I do think he'll end up winning one of them.

Obama gets all the blue states plus: Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Virginia, Colorado, Missouri, Iowa, New Mexico, Nevada, and Oregon if you don't count that as blue.

McCain would take Ohio, Florida, North Carolina, West Virginia, Arizona, Arkansas and all the other red states.

The math would be 302-236 for Obama.
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Texas Hill Country Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-03-08 02:52 PM
Response to Original message
18. HAHAHAHAAHAHAHAHAHA - i just looked back at your maps.... Total BS
How in the hell do you have Hillary losing MI, FL, IL, IN, NM and friggin AR...

You have her losing AR, are your friggin kidding me! LOLOOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLLOLLLKLOLLNFJKad;fkl djsaklfdklsj;afsdan;ngkfjl;
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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Apr-03-08 02:55 PM
Response to Reply #18
19. Indiana? Are you friggin Kidding me???
Show me your map and how the fuck you have her winning 320 plus electoral votes.
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