Are Harris polls reliable? This one gives Bush lead...

rumguy

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Fri Jun-18-04 11:27 PM
Original message

Are Harris polls reliable? This one gives Bush lead...

II've never heard of PRnewswire. But they are reporting what they call a Harris poll that gives Bush a ten point lead.

http://www.prnewswire.com/cgi-bin/stories.pl?ACCT=109&STORY=/www/story/06-18-2004/0002196096&EDATE=

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NMDemDist2

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Fri Jun-18-04 11:30 PM
Response to Original message

1. he did get a RR and D-Day bump

but it won't last

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lgardengate

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Fri Jun-18-04 11:37 PM
Response to Original message

2. I get Harris polls in my email. They poll on lots of stuff...

It is probably reliable.I heard another poll on tv (don't remember which poll...maybe on CNN) that had Bush in the lead but i think it was a smaller lead.More polls will most likely be out this weekend.

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Name removed

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Fri Jun-18-04 11:39 PM
Response to Original message

3. Deleted message

Message removed by moderator. Click here to review the message board rules.

rumguy

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Fri Jun-18-04 11:47 PM
Response to Reply #3

4. Hey go over to the Drudge Report

Edited on Fri Jun-18-04 11:48 PM by rumguy

There's a link to an article about an upcoming book written by a CIA insider. This book details very clearly how the boy monster is losing this war on terror. It's very explicit and full of details. I dare you to go read it. Then come back here and we'll talk.

It's quite telling that you come in here calling names, calling people traitors, etc...

Bottom line: the Bush Admin are chickenhawks and physical cowards...no amount of spin can change that....

You CAN'T debate, you have no facts on your side. All you can do is call names...pathetic....

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rumguy

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Fri Jun-18-04 11:54 PM
Response to Reply #3

5. Enjoy your tombstone fuckface!

The fact that you come in here calling names shows that you are a true repig. You have nothing but names and lies to spew!

I want to make this clear. I consider you *the enemy* - you are as much my enemy as Al Queda is...

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tritsofme

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Sat Jun-19-04 12:18 AM
Response to Original message

6. 13% MoE???????

Can someone tell me if I'm totally misreading something, or if this poll claims to have a 13% MoE??????

In theory, with a probability sample of this size, one can say with 95
percent certainty that the results have a statistical precision of 13
percentage points of what they would be if the entire adult population had
been polled with complete accuracy.

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eumesmo

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Sat Jun-19-04 12:54 AM
Response to Reply #6

9. It was a misprint. Real MoE was 3. nm

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tritsofme

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Sat Jun-19-04 12:55 AM
Response to Reply #9

10. I should hope so,

Edited on Sat Jun-19-04 12:56 AM by tritsofme

otherwise that is the most ridiculous poll I have ever seen in my life.

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cindyw

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Sat Jun-19-04 12:32 AM
Response to Original message

7. 8-15 is the exact time of RR

Rasmussen tracking showed this trend. According to his daily stuff it has already disapated.

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formernaderite

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Sat Jun-19-04 02:25 PM
Response to Reply #7

14. Rasmussen showed Bush winning in 2000 by much larger margins....

...considering the outcome, where Gore actually won regardless of the electoral outcome......I'd say Rasmussen is full of shit. I also heard on the radio that they are completely computerized autocallers....no live interviewer. I'd love to see the number of hangups they trigger.

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JI7

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Sat Jun-19-04 12:42 AM
Response to Original message

8. he did get the reagan eulogy boost so probably reliable

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dennis4868

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Sat Jun-19-04 01:05 AM
Response to Original message

11. I dont understand....

why someome who is going to vote for Kerry or is even undecided will all of a sudden decide to vote for Bush because old man Reagan died....what is that all about? What does one thing have to do with the other?

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RummyTheDummy

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Sat Jun-19-04 01:56 AM
Response to Reply #11

12. We live in a nation of morans

That's what it's all about.

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robbedvoter

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Sat Jun-19-04 09:29 AM
Response to Original message

13. in 2000, 2001 harris always gave W higher numbers than Gallup

and we know Gallup is not exactly scientific.

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Ronin1

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Sat Jun-19-04 02:43 PM
Response to Original message

15. 10 Points is HUGE...I'm not at all comfortable.

Edited on Sat Jun-19-04 02:44 PM by Ronin1

Where is the a NEW Ideas Democrat?

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