West Virginia: Kerry 47% - Bush 44%

American Research Group June18, 2004

Independents Give Kerry Slight Advantage Over Bush
Among Likely Voters in West Virginia

Although accounting for only 9% of likely voters, a switch among independent voters in West Virginia from George W. Bush to John Kerry gives Kerry a slight advantage among likely voters in West Virginia according to a survey by the American Research Group. A total of 47% of likely voters say they would vote for Kerry if the presidential election were being held today and 44% say they would vote for Bush. A total of 3% of likely voters say they would vote for Ralph Nader and 6% of likely voters are undecided. In March, Bush and Kerry were tied at 46% each in West Virginia.

In a race between just Bush and Kerry, Kerry leads Bush 48% to 45%, with 7% undecided.

These results are based on 600 completed telephone interviews among a statewide random sample of likely voters in West Virginia. Of the 600 likely voters, 32% are registered as Republicans, 59% are registered as Democrats, and 9% are not affiliated with any party (independents) or are affiliated with a minor party. The interviews were conducted June 15 through 17, 2004. The theoretical margin of error for the total sample of 600 is plus or minus 4 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.

http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/wv/

the actual breakdown of party affiliations in the state at large.