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Bush 51, Kerry 41 among likely voters. Harris poll.

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Timefortruth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jun-19-04 06:58 PM
Original message
Bush 51, Kerry 41 among likely voters. Harris poll.
The Harris Poll. June 8-15, 2004. N=991 adults nationwide. MoE ± 3 (total sample)

It gets a little better when all respondents are used:
6/8-15/04
ALL: Bush 48 Kerry 42 Nader 7

http://pollingreport.com/wh04gen.htm

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WillyBrandt Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jun-19-04 07:00 PM
Response to Original message
1. WTF? Kerry was leading the polls just a week ago or so
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LoZoccolo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jun-19-04 07:08 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. Perhaps it's a Reagan bounce...
...which won't last long.
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lancdem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jun-19-04 07:15 PM
Response to Reply #1
4. Relax
It's the Reagan bounce. Pew had a similar uptick for Bush. I'm pretty sure it's gone now. A poll done June 15-17 in W.Va., a state Bush won by 6 percent in 2000, shows him losing to Kerry by 3. If Bush we leading nationally, he wouldn't be trailing in W.Va., believe me. And Rasmussen's tracking poll for today has Kerry ahead 46-45.
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louis c Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jun-19-04 07:28 PM
Response to Reply #4
7. You beat me to it
louis c
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Malva Zebrina Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jun-19-04 07:09 PM
Response to Original message
3. If Bush wins the election there is no one to blame but the Democrats
IMO

Individually, we do what we can. We as individuals can only go so far.

We can express our feelings and our outrage as many of us have, and we can write our fingers off to journalists and to other organisations as well as to our representatives, even though they be Bush bootlickers.

But, if we do not have the real power behind us, and we do not hear them supporing us, we will not support them.

We will lose faith in the process and proscribe to the notion that indeed, they are all the same.

Oh, we may vote for Kerry as the lesser of the two evils,definately, but if we do not really trust him either,because we perceive the same obfuscation and the same spinning and the same photo op obssessions,complete with all the superficial glitter and glamor,the system will remain broken and will continue downhill.
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riverwalker Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jun-19-04 07:26 PM
Response to Original message
5. a shallow Reagan-O-philia bump
Now that the Gipper's planted, Nancy wants stem cells, Ron Reagan says Dumyas a turd, hostage heads are still rolling, people are stocking up on duct tape for the radiological dirty bombs they want us to have nightmares about. It's back to Bush's delusions and our (temporary) reality, the polls will rebound shortly.
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louis c Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jun-19-04 07:26 PM
Response to Original message
6. Rasmussen: Kerry 46%-Bush 45%
Edited on Sat Jun-19-04 07:27 PM by louis c
Poll is a tracking poll with 1,500 respondents over the three day period (June16-18). In addition Florida, Ohio, and Missouri are either tied or one or two points apart.

During certain spans of time, like the Reagan Funeral Week, and a Kerry stand down, there may be spikes in one direction or another. I like following Rasmussen, because it is continuing, daily polling data going back to March.

Even when other polls, like the L.A. Times or Gallop showed 5-7 point Kerry leads, Rasmussen had the race always between 3 points, either way, and more often less than that.

I would encourage DUers to check out their polls. It's free and comprehensive, and keeps you on an even keel. Log on to Rasmussenreports.com

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rasputin1952 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jun-19-04 09:13 PM
Response to Original message
8. We all like polls when they bounce in our favor...
and while interesting to a certain extent; I put no faith in any of the polls this far away from the election. Hell, everytime bush goes to the Rose Garden, or makes an impromptu 'speech', his #'s tumble as he proves hinmself a blathering idiot.

Kind of fun to watch, but I truly believe that only the vote-by-rote GOP neo-cons will vote for this pinhead...he should lose handily, he is by far, the WORST president this nation has ever had.
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Protected Donating Member (618 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jun-19-04 09:49 PM
Response to Original message
9. Polls suck.
Edited on Sat Jun-19-04 09:51 PM by Jonathan Little
I vote to outlaw the media's polls. There's one poll that matters, and that's the one on November 2nd when the "likely voters" cast their ballot.
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