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It's about the DELEGATES, stupid. Here's how they're allocated in Pennsylvania.

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TahitiNut Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-22-08 11:04 AM
Original message
It's about the DELEGATES, stupid. Here's how they're allocated in Pennsylvania.
Edited on Tue Apr-22-08 11:08 AM by TahitiNut
The language often being used seems to pretend that there's some other objective. There isn't. There is no "win" or "lose" today except on a delegate-by-delegate basis. All else is spin, hype, and bullshit.

The 'prize' is the 2nd Congressional District's 9 delegates. There are seven delegates each from the 1st, 7th, 8th, 13th, and 14th Congressional Districts and six from the 6th. Each of the other twelve Congressional Districts get lesser number of delegates down to 3 delegates from the 9th Congressional District.

Interestingly, if either candidate gets 1 vote more than 85% in any Congressional District they get ALL those delegates.

Fifty-five delegates are awarded statewide which means about 1 delegate for each 2% of the statewide popular vote.

All this obsession on the statewide vote is only a ROUGH approximation ... and it matters WHERE the vote is.

Tuesday 22 April 2008: 158 of 187 delegates to the Democratic National Convention are allocated to presidential contenders based on the results of the voting in today's Pennsylvania Presidential Primary. A mandatory 15 percent threshold is required in order for a presidential contender to be allocated National Convention delegates at either the congressional district or statewide level.
  • 103 district delegates are to be allocated proportionally to presidential contenders based on the primary results in each of the State's 19 congressional districts.
    • CD 9: 3 delegates
    • CDs 5, 10, 16, 17, 19: 4 delegates each
    • CDs 3, 4, 11, 12, 15, 18: 5 delegates each
    • CDs 6: 6 delegates each
    • CDs 1, 7, 8, 13, 14: 7 delegates each
    • CD 2: 9 delegates
  • In addition, 55 delegates are to be allocated to presidential contenders based on the primary vote statewide.
    • 35 at-large National Convention delegates
    • 20 Pledged PLEOs


The remaining 29 National Convention delegates consist of
  • 26 Unpledged PLEO delegates:
    • 13 Democratic National Committee members.
    • 12 Members of Congress (1 Senator and 11 Representatives).
    • 1 Governor.
    • 0 Distinguished Party Leaders (Note: Governor Edward Gene "Ed" Rendell, Chairman of the Democratic National Committee from 1999 to 2001, is a Distinguished Party leader. Reasoning that the office holder position is better known to the public in general, The Green Papers treats elected officials who are Governors, U.S. Senators, or U.S. House members and Distinguished Party Leaders or DNC members as office holders.).
  • 3 Unpledged "add-on"s (selected by the Pennsylvania State Democratic Committee).

These 29 delegates and will go to the Democratic National Convention officially "Unpledged".

http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P08/PA-D.phtml
Now, let's look at some of those Congressional Districts in order of decreasing delegate allocation strength.


That's where it's at. Today.
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grantcart Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-22-08 11:05 AM
Response to Original message
1. tks
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Diamond Dog Donating Member (271 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-22-08 11:07 AM
Response to Original message
2. Kicked and recced.
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Tatiana Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-22-08 11:10 AM
Response to Original message
3. Recommended for factual information (and colorful maps).
Obama is going to do relatively well in the delegate count. I think the Philly area is going to help him immensely.
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Greyskye Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-22-08 11:13 AM
Response to Reply #3
6. Assuming the voting machines don't all break

Early reports are not looking good in predominantly AA areas.

:(
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Tarc Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-22-08 11:16 AM
Response to Reply #6
9. Ahh yes, here comes the conspiracy theories to explain away the Obama defeat
:tinfoilhat:
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movonne Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-22-08 11:20 AM
Response to Reply #9
13. Just because you are a hillary fan please do not make light of
election fraud...we all know it goes on...
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C_U_L8R Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-22-08 11:21 AM
Response to Reply #9
14. It's a bit more than theory
if in fact the machines are breaking down.

Convenience in that it helps Hillary.

Conspiracy if Hillary is indeed behind it.

No ones saying that.. but it sure is convenient.
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TahitiNut Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-22-08 11:21 AM
Response to Reply #9
15. Just blame it on Nader, huh? After all, that's worked so well in the past.
Sheesh! :puke:
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cliffordu Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-22-08 11:12 AM
Response to Original message
4. Dayum, TahitiNut - excellent work!!!
Edited on Tue Apr-22-08 11:13 AM by cliffordu
I'll just give this the little kick and rec it deserves and be on my way. Lotsa folks to tease!!!!



:kick:
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TahitiNut Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-22-08 11:19 AM
Response to Reply #4
11. Thanks. It's frustrating to wade through GD:P and see all the lame-brained fact-free crap.
Hell ... why the FUCK must *I* (an independent!) school people who call themselves "Democrats" on how THEIR party chooses delegates for the nominating convention??? It's fucking insane that folks don't seem to cmprehend the deliberate emphasis on 'Democratic strongholds" ... both at the state and Congressional District levels. All the claims and counter-claims of "electability" and "big states" and other shit IGNORES the fact that the Democratic Party has built in the electoral strength considerations in the allocation of delegates!!

Fucking frustrating to see so much vacuous, mind-numbing, fact-free crap. :grr:


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cliffordu Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-22-08 11:26 AM
Response to Reply #11
16. Lotta brain dead cheerleaders on this forum
I'm mostly brain dead but at least I know it and understand a fine argument or an insightful piece of information when I see it.

You're one of the best DU'ers around here....even if you ARE just an independent......


:rofl: :rofl: :rofl:





:patriot:
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Labors of Hercules Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-22-08 10:13 PM
Response to Reply #11
29. Isn't it obvious?
Edited on Tue Apr-22-08 10:14 PM by Labors of Hercules
Hillary represents an enormous majority of the "moron democrat" vote (and yes, there are quite a few of them, even here on DU).
Not to mention the clueless trolls who chime in just to demonstrate their stupidity.
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TahitiNut Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-22-08 11:06 PM
Response to Reply #29
32. While I'm SORELY tempted to agree ...
... I try to remind myself of some key 'truths.' I use the example of Don Quixote's heroism. While some may deride him as a fool tilting at windmills, the lesson is that it wasn't relevant that the windmills posed him no threat. The fact that he believed they did is sufficient to say he was courageous.

When folks support a politician out of a belief that they will act in ways to honor certain values and principles we hold dear ... justice and equity ... I have to remind myself that they MAY be wrong, but that doesn't make them inimical to those values. The problems, of course, are far more complex than tilting at windmills. Some supporters actually DON'T hold the same values and principles dear as I do. They, in fact, may be motivated by a self-interest that's contrary to my interests and the interests of many. They may, in fact, not be motivated by a sense of justice and equity ... but more out of a sense of a perpetuated privilege they enjoy. (But God forbid they admit it.)

Sadly, fools and the implacably ignorant eschew learning the complexities of economic policies in particular. Over and over and over again we see small-to-vanishing differences on the GUT issues totally overwhelm what miniscule comprehension of economic issues may be present. Hell, we even have some totally deluded (or abysmally selfish) souls arguing that capital gains taxes SHOULD be lower than taxes on EARNED income - income we obtain by our LABOR - and making the same ol' 'trickle down' pseudo-claims that have been soundly demolished. That's just plain stupid. (Oh well.)

:shrug:

There's no law that says someone actually be informed in order to form an opinion. (If there was, most of us would be arrested.)
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pberq Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-22-08 11:12 AM
Response to Original message
5. Kick & Nominated
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Kittycat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-22-08 11:14 AM
Response to Original message
7. Bookmarking for tonight.
Hoping that someone that has time (AKA no kids to put down) will be able to track this as it comes in.
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LSK Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-22-08 11:14 AM
Response to Original message
8. So its a battle over Philly
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MindMatter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-22-08 11:17 AM
Response to Original message
10. It looks like many delegates could be grooved for Clinton
If I understand the breakdown, Rendell might be in a position to influence the appointment of many of the unpledged delegates.
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dbmk Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-22-08 06:21 PM
Response to Reply #10
21. They are appointed by positions held mostly
Edited on Tue Apr-22-08 06:22 PM by dbmk
That number includes congressmembers and senators.

(1) Members of the Democratic National Committee who legally reside in the state;
(Rule 9.A.(1), Call, I.F., J., K., & Reg. 4.13.)
(2) All of Pennsylvania’s Democratic Members of the U.S. House of Representatives
and the U.S. Senate; (Rule 9.A.(3), Call I.G. & K.)
(3) The Democratic Governor; (Rule 9.A.(4), Call I.G. & K.)
(4) “Distinguished Party Leader” delegates who legally reside in the state. (Rule 9.A.(5),
Call I.K., and Reg. 4.13.)

See rules http://padems.com/files/Delegate08Final806.pdf">here.

Afaict its only the 3 add-on unpledged that get selected by the state committee.
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Ichingcarpenter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-22-08 11:19 AM
Response to Original message
12. The Total Delegate allocation won't even be known tonight either
I will find the link I read this morning.
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uponit7771 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-22-08 11:30 AM
Response to Original message
17. Kick for proper focus
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TahitiNut Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-22-08 05:57 PM
Response to Original message
18. Reality check.
:eyes:
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rainbow4321 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-22-08 06:15 PM
Response to Original message
19. HRC camp always ignores the layout of the delegates
Here in TX, her people were all over the media saying that her South TX supporters would put TX in her column. Sounded good til one looked at the delegate layout and the majority were in NORTH TX.
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ORDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-22-08 06:49 PM
Response to Reply #19
25. Well, of course. It was all supposed to be over 2/5 for them.
Math is not their best subject apparently.
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dbmk Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-22-08 06:18 PM
Response to Original message
20. Seems like the right place to plug this:
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TahitiNut Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-22-08 06:27 PM
Response to Reply #20
22. Yup. THAT'S what we're taking about.
All this simple-minded, brain-dead crap on DU about raw vote totals and the PRETENSE of "win" or "lose" is total nonsense - people pawing through bullshit.
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tekisui Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-22-08 06:42 PM
Response to Original message
23. Great work, TahitiNut.
I didn't know you had it in you.

Just kidding, I appreciate the work in this post, and will be referring to it through the night.
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ORDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-22-08 06:47 PM
Response to Original message
24. KnR - Thank you, thank you. Many need reminding of this apparently.
:kick:
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HCE SuiGeneris Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-22-08 07:49 PM
Response to Original message
26. K n R
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Zhade Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-22-08 07:56 PM
Response to Original message
27. Kick for facts
NT!

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TahitiNut Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-22-08 09:30 PM
Response to Original message
28. All aboard the clue train!
:silly:
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Raine Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-22-08 10:25 PM
Response to Original message
30. Good info...
THANKS!
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madrchsod Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-22-08 10:43 PM
Response to Original message
31. thanks for some facts tonight
and thanks to dbmk for that post too. she won the battle and lost the war
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Swamp Rat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Apr-22-08 11:51 PM
Response to Original message
33. Thanks
Edited on Tue Apr-22-08 11:52 PM by Swamp Rat
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