~~~CNN Exit Polls~~~

Who would do a good job handling the economy?

27% say Clinton
19% say Obama
45% Both
6% Neither

Only one I caught so far.

That told us nothing....Thanks for nothing, CNN. I turn your station off when Tony Snow comes on.

Give us some meat to these polls, CNN.. how about the demographic info?

But everyone has been going apeshit over exit polls today, figured I'd post what I had.

Last night I had to watch him and Dee Dee Myers discuss Hillary Clinton's candidacy vs. Barack Obama. Could there be anything either of these people say that isn't tainted by personal experience?

...The "Independent WOmen's Forum." That was the bevy of bimbos (including Ann Coulter) who bartered their well-worn wares to the news shows during the Clinton DickGates.

I saw one IWFer last night and she actually seemed to be supporting Obama.

Go to Google NewsEarly Pennsylvania exit poll results
By The Associated Press – 9 minutes ago

An exit poll finds one in 10 voters in Pennsylvania's Democratic primary changed parties since the start of the year so they could vote in the hotly contested election, which is open only to registered Democrats.

The survey Tuesday for The Associated Press and television networks indicates about half of the party-switchers formerly were registered Republicans and the rest had been unaffiliated with either party.

The exit poll finds about one in five voters made their voting decision within the final week of the six-week Pennsylvania campaign. Half said campaign ads were important to their vote.

nice,
So she needs to win by 15-20 to show the will of the Democrats?
Someone send that info to the supers. this will help them decide

Half of the ten percent are republicans, and some were probably not dittoheads.

While I agree that a significant chunk are probably those people, there have definitely been Republicans switching over to legitimately vote for Senator Obama.

shove it up your arse. You know damn good and well that the pukes are voting Hillary. Saying it over and over just reveals your rovarian characteristics. Her whole campaign is rovarian, and so are you quite frankly. we will stop the lies no matter how long it takes. we will bring this farce to an end regardless of whether it takes until August. We will not back down to the rovarian, chaosian Hillarians. they will be defeated, sooner or later. Deal with it.

He lost Democrats 53-46 in Texas and 56-42 in Ohio. Rethugs for Clinton is another Obamite fairy tale.

the other half were probably Greens and Independents, which would help Obama.

Give it up!

I think that means late breakers going for Clinton.

This is painful.

If...

"exit poll finds about one in five voters made their voting decision within the final week"

plus...

Decided in last week:
Clinton 58%
Obama 42%

That means 11.6% for Clinton vs 8.4% for Obama. By my calculations, then

McCain wins 80% of the Pennsylvania vote. OMfG!! Panic!!!!1!

I really need to give up my crystal math addiction.

From the folks at CBS News, a look at the early exit polls:

The exit polls show a smaller percentage of late deciders -- 23% -- than in previous states. The economy mattered most to 54% of voters. (TV news reports say that Clinton won these folks.)

The change versus experience question has been settled: 49% said change was their top vote-generating quality, versus 26 percent who said experience was.

About 15% of the electorate was made up of new voters. 37% are gun owners.

Still petulant: more than 60% of Clinton voters say they wouldn't be happy if Obama were the nominee; about half of Obama voters say the same. 25% of Clinton supporters say they'd vote for McCain in the general election; 17% of Obama supporters say they'd vote for McCain in the general election.

Still, 57% of Pennsylvanians believed that Sen. Clinton "attacked" unfairly compared to 49% who thought Obama did.

http://marcambinder.theatlantic.com/archives/2008/04/exit_polls_change_and_polariza.php

Logic says he probably got some votes out of it in the past but won't get as much in PA.

Decided in last week:
Clinton 58%
Obama 42%

New voters registered this year as a Democrat:
Obama 60%
Clinton 38%

Funny how the primaries highlight extreme cases of asshole-itis that I'd nver noticed before.

Julie

55%

Anyone who is still undecided, has not been paying attention :)

1 out 7 new voters in PA - they went 60-38 Obama

Voters who made up mind in last week - they went 58-42 Hillary.

In every state how can 90% of AA undecideds go to the same candidate? The only explanation is a "reverse" Bradley Effect. There isn't a single state where black undecideds have went for Clinton out of the 43 that have voted thus far.

.

Go Bill :eyes:

The machines "mysteriously" broke down in some black neighborhoods in Philly.

Even in NY, where he lost by 17 overall, he carried the AA vote 61-37. Is it McSame's fault that Romney got 90% of the Mormon vote everywhere?

or maybe FreeperTown has all the skinny .. Mom's calling you for supper :)

African-Americans
Obama 92%
Clinton 8%

65 and over
Clinton 61%
Obama 38%

White men
Clinton 55%
Obama 45%

It's the City of Brotherly Love. Duh.

Hillary carried 13% of AA vote in OH. She gets only 8% here.

Obama lost 60+ in OH 69-28. He's down by only 23 here.

Obama lost white men in OH 58-39. He's down by only 10 here.

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/21226001/

Only a matter of how much. I don't think she'll win as much as Ohio after looking at some of the other demographics though.

There are more black people in PA than in OH. Obama won only 86% or so in OH, here he wins 92%. He also lost the White male vote 58-39 in OH, here they have him losing so far 55-45. He has improved

12.1% in PA, 10.7% in OH. Roughly double these numbers for a Dem primary. So the extra 6% will only make up for there being less in the first place.

He has improved among white men, at least thus far. The key will be white women. Will they vote heavily for Clinton to keep her alive?

White men and AA's give us over half the vote. If they give us the white women numbers we can predict this thing...

because they are waiting to vote after work?

Just asking.:)

Black: 92 - 8 Obama
65 or older voters - 61-38 Hillary
White men: 55-45 Hillary

Does not look good for Obama.

we need the proportion of black vote.

As for white men, that's prett much where I expected.

Of course it's a loss, and I'm still betting it's an 8 point loss.

At least...

Reports are coming in that it's a 4pt margin on the exit polls in Clinton's favor. 4pts - that's a HUGE win for Obama if it holds. Stay positive.

Sorry.

I just did a quickie side-by-side of OH and PA on these measures and reached the same conclusion.

This is for Jackson, since he thinks all newly registered Dems could only be part of the Obamacan conspiracy: I think the newly registered Dems are mostly young voters rather than Repubs. There's a lot of people that recently turned 18 since the last election and had not registered yet.

CNN exits

92%*15% of voters=13.8% and 45%of 40% of voters=18% and 35% of 45% of voters=15.75% total=47.55% I pulled these no.s out of my rear end

hurt Obama, and that he is significantly improving with white males.

Who will be the nominee?
Obama 54%
Clinton 43%

Would you be satisfied
If either wins the nomination? 38%
If Clinton wins the nomination? 32%
If Obama wins the nomination? 25%

better on the economy. Ha! Good luck with that, people!