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Rasmussen daily graph for 4/27/08 - Obama up 1 (48), Clinton down 1 (42)

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DavidDvorkin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-27-08 08:34 AM
Original message
Rasmussen daily graph for 4/27/08 - Obama up 1 (48), Clinton down 1 (42)
Excitement over. Such as it was.








(Pretend that the 10 and 20 lines are actually 0. Does anyone know how to make Excel label different parts of the axis differently?)

Gallup: http://www.gallup.com

These Rasmussen graphs are all contained on one Web page at http://www.dvorkin.com/rastrack.html

Rasmussen links:
Data in tabular form
Discussion
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DavidDvorkin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-27-08 09:38 AM
Response to Original message
1. The trend is remarkably stable
The second graph implies that the blips are just that.
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Mooney Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-27-08 09:42 AM
Response to Original message
2. HRC never seems to get past 49%.
I think that was her all-time high, and it was only while the Wright story was breaking. In other words, she only does "well" when Obama has a bad week and dips below her. She doesn't take the lead, ever.

Just my observation.
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Frank Booth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-27-08 10:53 AM
Response to Reply #2
8. Yeah, she definitely has a ceiling. It's probably because she's fundamentally an unlikable person.
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Colobo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-27-08 09:42 AM
Response to Original message
3. Obama has won. Hillary lost. We all know it.
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Freedom Train Donating Member (479 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-27-08 09:44 AM
Response to Original message
4. Nah, Hillary has the momentum coming out of PA
And will be on an even bigger roll after winning Indiana. It's far from over.
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book_worm Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-27-08 09:48 AM
Response to Reply #4
6. what momentum? Since PA Obama has won more Super Delegates
his national polls are pretty stable and most Indiana polls indicate that he may be a bit ahead meanwhile he continues to dominate in North Carolina. I'm making no predictions about Indiana--it will be close but if Obama wins a landslide in NC (he will get many more delegates out of NC, I think, than Hill got out of PA) and wins Indiana then the Supers will begin to tell Hill to get out of the race, and if she doesn't they will really start coming out enmasse to endorse him.
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DavidDvorkin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-27-08 01:21 PM
Response to Reply #6
11. Yep
Even Gallup, which shows them tied, should be viewed with caution. Considering Rasmussen and Newsweek, Gallup's numbers probably result from a couple of odd days. Next week, I think (yes, and hope), will probably show Obama moving ahead by 5-10 points again.

Which should be enough to convince any wavering superdelegates who are worried about national polls.
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Mooney Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-27-08 07:10 PM
Response to Reply #4
12. How many pledged delegates does she get from that momentum?
0.
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book_worm Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-27-08 09:45 AM
Response to Original message
5. first full tracking poll after PA. results on day of PA were 49-41 Obama
now 48-42--no real change. Obama and McCain are tied 46-46 while Hillary is behind 47-45. McCain beats Hill among white voters by 11 and Obama by 12, yet Obama "dominates" among black voters while Hill "just" 59%.
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Kahuna Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-27-08 09:54 AM
Response to Original message
7. Natch. nt
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Zachstar Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-27-08 11:18 AM
Response to Original message
9. Looking good!
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DavidDvorkin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Apr-27-08 12:27 PM
Response to Original message
10. Spin it however the Hillary people will, it's over
Obama will be the candidate.

Now it's up to the Clintonites to decide if they'll help him win the presidency or if they'll help McCain win.
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