Why I think Obama has been picking up one Super delegate per day on average since end of Super Tues

It's not so much about the day by day polls but about trends that they have seen in the campaign. I think the Super Delegates may ask themselves these questions:

1) Which candidate has proven that they can raise huge amounts of money from small donations? Obama, who has about 1.4 million donors and will probably opt out of public funding (unlike Clinton whose donors are pretty much tapped out).

2) Which candidate will NOT ignore my state? By and large Obama. Hillary has made it clear that she intends to run the usual Democratic 20 state campaign and ignore other states. By competing in 50 states as Obama is willing to do and Chairman Dean has stressed we are helping Democrats statewide in races. Furthermore, Obama has already pledged a huge voter registration program nationwide--Hillary has not.

3) Which candidate has proved that they can attract the kinds of independent voters that are needed to win a national election? By and large it has been Obama who has been the clear choice of independent voters.

4) Which candidate is bringing in new voters? I'm sure Hillary has brought in some, but largely the concensus has been it's been Obama who has turned on new voters the most and brought them out in high numbers.

5) Which candidate has demonstrated they can win younger voters who historically are turned off of politics? Again Obama has been the clear choice of voters 18-29 and in most states those under 50 overall.

6) Which candidate will generate the kind of turnout and enthusiasm we need among the most loyal Democratic group--African-Americans? Clearly again it's Obama. The Clinton's began the campaign with a lot of good will in the AA community but as it has gone on that good-will has diminished. To win in November we need black voters to be highly motivated and turn out in large numbers. Don't get me wrong Hillary would win the black vote, but will she get 90% or more like Obama and will she be able to to get high turnout numbers or just average? A strong African-American vote also will help Democrats all across the ballot.

7) Which candidate will help Democrats in key Senate races? These are the states with high profile competitive senate races: South Dakota, Virginia, Louisiana, Alaska, Colorado, Minnestoa, New Hampshire, New Mexico, Oregon and Maine. Obama won big Virginia, Lousiana, Alaska, Colorado, Minnesota, and Maine and is heavily favored in Oregon. In states like Virginia and LA the Dem candidate will need and want a strong black turnout. In most of those states in the polls of the General election Obama is running better than Hillary against McCain. For instance in Colorado last week Rasmussen reported a three-point lead for Obama in Colorado vs. McCain while Hillary was running 14-points behind. In Minnesota Obama has a 9-point lead while Hillary was even with McCain.

The Super Delegates will look at many things but I think these above questions are in their minds. They want the Democratic party to prosper not only to win the WH but keep and add to congress, state legislatures and governorship--and Obama appears to be the candidate best suited to do this.

and every politician knows the Clintons don't have em.

will turn off a great many...I also don't think she will get a lot of the youth vote, just the ones that are for her anyway...

:thumbsup: