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Rasmussen- McSame 47% Obama 43% /Clinton 47%-McSame 43%/Obama 46% -Clinton- 45%

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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 08:36 AM
Original message
Rasmussen- McSame 47% Obama 43% /Clinton 47%-McSame 43%/Obama 46% -Clinton- 45%
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows Hillary Clinton with a four-point advantage over John McCain, 47% to 43%. At the same time, McCain leads Barack Obama by an identical margin, 47% to 43% (see recent daily results). Tracking results are updated daily by 9:30 a.m. Eastern Time. In these match-ups, Clinton is supported by 78% of Democrats, Obama by 67%. McCain leads both potential opponents by four percentage points among unaffiliated voters.

Clinton leads McCain by eleven among women but trails by three among men. Obama leads McCain by four among women but trails by thirteen among men.

Twenty-seven percent (27%) of White Democrats prefer McCain over Obama. Thirteen percent (13%) pick McCain over Clinton.

Recently, there has been much discussion of who white working class voters and will support in Election 2008. Among White voters who earn less than $40,000 annually, Clinton currently leads McCain by ten percentage points while McCain leads Obama by seven. Among White voters who earn between $40,000 and $75,000 a year, McCain leads Clinton by five and Obama by sixteen.

In the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination, Obama now attracts 46% of Likely Democratic Primary Voters while Clinton earns support from 45%. A week ago, Obama led by eight (see recent Democratic Nomination results). Still, Rasmussen Markets data shows Obama is given a 73.9 % chance of winning the Democratic nomination.

Clinton leads Obama among the self-employed, entrepreneurs, and retirees. Obama leads among government employees and those who work for a private sector company. White working class voters remain a challenge for Obama. Among White voters who earn less than $75,000 a year, Clinton leads Obama 59% to 32%. The lower the income level, the bigger her margins. However, among White voters who earn more than $75,000 annually, Obama leads Clinton by eight percentage points.

Polling released last week shows a split decision is expected tomorrow--Clinton leads in Indiana while Obama has the edge North Carolina. Looking ahead a few weeks, Obama has a twelve-point lead in Oregon. New polling data for West Virginia will be released at noon Eastern today and a first look at the Kentucky primary will be released tomorrow.

Among all voters nationwide, McCain is viewed favorably by 51% and unfavorably by 46%. (see recent daily favorable ratings). Obama is now viewed favorably by 49% and unfavorably by 48%. For Clinton, the reviews are 48% favorable, 49% unfavorable. This is the first time Clinton’s unfavorable ratings have fallen below the 50% level since March 12.

Among men, McCain is viewed favorably by 55%, Obama by 45%, and Clinton by 44%. Among women, Obama earns favorable reviews from 53%, Clinton from 52%, and McCain from 48%.

New polling data was released today showing both Democrats within single digits of McCain in Texas. That state has a very competitive Senate race as well. Still, the Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator shows Democrats leading in states with 200 Electoral Votes. The GOP has the advantage in states with 189. When “leaners” are added, the Democrats lead 260 to 240 (see summary of recent state-by-state results). Data from Rasmussen Markets gives Democrats a 59.8 % chance of winning in November.


http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

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GoldieAZ49 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 08:43 AM
Response to Original message
1. Twenty-seven percent (27%) of White Democrats prefer McCain over Obama
Just saw Rasmussen on the morning news, he said they will vote McCain over O, hope the SD's are paying attention...I am sure they are
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leftofcool Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 08:51 AM
Response to Reply #1
2. I doubt if they are
The should be, but probably not
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Staceyclinton Donating Member (9 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 08:53 AM
Response to Original message
3. I will vote for mccain
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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 08:55 AM
Response to Reply #3
4. bye
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 08:55 AM
Response to Reply #3
5. I Do Not Think That Is Particularly Wise Nor Prudent
I also suspect it is going to result in your banning...


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Upton Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 09:07 AM
Response to Reply #3
6. Why?
no matter what the circumstances, I can't envision a scenario where voting Republican is good for the country.
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O.M.B.inOhio Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 09:39 AM
Response to Reply #3
7. You seem to be on the wrong site. DU is for people who believe in American values.
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Yurovsky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 09:43 AM
Response to Reply #3
9. Good grief ...
it's one thing to be upset that your candidate is losing, it's quite another to run off and shoot yourself in the foot over it. Gramps will simply provide more of the same swell governing that Chimpy & Evil Dick have provided the past 8 years, which means more war, record profits for big oil, and the collapse of the domestic economy as the robber barons plunder the working class under the auspices of "stimulating the economy".

I'm not sure America can survive another 4-8 years of GOP rule. You can't seriously want that blood on your hands, can you?
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Hawaii Hiker Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 09:44 AM
Response to Reply #3
10. Is this Republican Underground?
How on EARTH could any Democrat vote for that senile, vapid, empty suit broken down old pug John W McBush is fucking beyond me, :banghead:

Think about Roe V. Wade being overturned when you cast that vote for that phony McBush...
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rodeodance Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 09:50 AM
Response to Reply #10
14. It does seem that way when O. fans use OLD RW smears to smear Hillary.
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 09:40 AM
Response to Original message
8. Obama's poll numbers are collapsing.
It's time this party rallies around the only candidate who can win the general election, Hillary Clinton.
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Blondbostonian Donating Member (298 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 09:44 AM
Response to Reply #8
11. You live in a fantasyworld where GE polls in May matter.
Clinton will galvanize the Republican base if she's nominated and the AA and young voters won't go out to vote because the election was decided on by superdelegates who ignore the winner of more states, delegates and votes.

I will hold my nose and vote for Hillary. Many won't.
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rodeodance Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 09:46 AM
Response to Reply #11
12. "Clinton is supported by 78% of Democrats,"-yup she beats obama
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NJSecularist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 09:47 AM
Response to Reply #11
13. And Obama won't galvanize the Republican base?
:crazy: :crazy: :crazy:

What, do you think the Republicans are just going to stay home if Obama is the nominee? Get real.

White working class voters, Latinos, white females, Asian Americans, they will all stay home if Obama is the nominee.
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RaleighNCDUer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 09:57 AM
Response to Reply #13
15. On what grounds do you say that?
Do you REALLY believe that white working class, Latinos, white females, Asian Americans are too racist to vote for a black candidate?

Or are you just throwing poo?
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noisyanimal Donating Member (11 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-05-08 09:59 AM
Response to Original message
16. Only the NYT registered a bump for Obama
We will find out the truth tomorrow. Hard to tell who is right or wrong.
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