Zogby's final day of polling: Obama with 14 point lead in NC! 2 point lead in IN.

UTICA, New York—On the strength of good polling numbers on the final day before the primary elections in Indiana and North Carolina, Barack Obama of Illinois holds a convincing lead in North Carolina, but the race is simply too close to call in Indiana, the latest Zogby two-day telephone tracking poll shows.

The pair of surveys of the Democratic presidential contests shows Obama with a significant 14-point lead in North Carolina, winning 51% support to Hillary Clinton’s 37%. Another 12% said they were either favoring someone else or were as yet undecided. In Indiana, the race is clear as mud, as Obama holds a statistically insignificant lead of two points, winning 45% support to Clinton’s 43% support, with 12% either undecided or favoring someone else.

http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1499

:bounce:

he did in the national polls.

:rofl:

stance. They have formed the Arab American Institute. I wonder if they like Obama's middle name? :>)

Did you read the methodology part? Are any of it? There is a +/-3.9% margin of error. You don't think Indiana is close? If Hillary wins by 2%, Zogby was dead on.

K and R

I was dead-on in PA (well, I did miss by .2).

I have a 1-race winning streak so far.

:rofl:

Terry McAuliffe wouldn't predict a win like he always has in the past until Mika and Joe kept goading him on wshen he finally predicted a win for Hillary in IN. Then he rattled off predicted wins in WV, KY, PR, etc., and then Tamron Hall kept saying McAuliffe predicted wins for Hillary in both states. :eyes:

make that adjustment for you ;-)

North Carolina Obama +11
Indiana Clinton +1

That's a win-win for Obama in MY book!

...GOBAMA!!!!!



:applause:

Obama's better-looking, but he IS a super man! :hi: :D

If he's right, I'll take back everything I've said about Zogby this election season.

I hope that it isn't, but he still hasn't had time to fully recover from Wright.

I'll be thrilled with an 8 point win in NC and a 5 point loss in IN, which is the RCP average of polls. If he wins NC by more than he loses IN, I'll consider it a big night for him.

I just think since Zogby had Obama with single-digit leads the last few days, he may see a rebound going on!

:woohoo:

Net gain of delegates for the day goes to Obama.

An Obama win in IN would make my month, but it ain't gonna happen. Zogby is way out of the consensus on this one.

That was stated in the article. This Catholic considers this a significant gain. :)

:hi:

That is a much easier target..

against her. Yeah, right.

information. However, if you must repeat the talking point so be it.

:shrug:

Don't bet the farm on the Messiah,eh.

The Messiah did alright tonight. CNN confirmed polls showed people did not favor the gas tax. :smoke:

:rofl:

Hard to tell if that is just noise or if it represents a late surge for Obama.


"The one-day total, which comprises about half of the two-day tracking poll sample, saw Obama winning 47% support to Clinton’s 41%. Monday’s polling results are combined with Sunday’s numbers to produce the two-day tracking poll."

where Hillary looked terrible and Obama looked great!

An enterprise Obama excels at.

:)

,from what I've seen. Combine that with hillary's propensity to capture many of these late deciders, and I think that may accounts for some of the differences we see. The question is whether the late trenders will break for hillary again this time. I'm not certain that will be the case in a southern state like NC, if previous history is any indication

I feel the same way and have the same questions.

K & R :thumbsup: