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Hillary's Double Dream Dashed: Exits Show Easy Obama Win in NC

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nomorewhopper Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 04:32 PM
Original message
Hillary's Double Dream Dashed: Exits Show Easy Obama Win in NC
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap_campaignplus/20080506/ap_ca/primary_exit_poll_glance
http://www.drudgereport.com/

i know i know its drudge but you know he's always good for a link to the early exit polls on election day.

regardless, obama wins NC.

Congrats Obama!

Now the real fun of the night begins in Indiana!
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Texas Hill Country Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 04:34 PM
Response to Original message
1. no mention of numbers?
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tekisui Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 04:38 PM
Response to Reply #1
6. If the link to Yahoo is accurate.
It says about a third AA. That translates(90% of 33%) to 30%, if Obama takes 50% of the non-AA vote, he wins 63-37, by 26 points.
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nomorewhopper Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 04:49 PM
Response to Reply #6
9. yes the big aa turnout is a huge positive for obama in nc. but in indiana, things will be much clos
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tekisui Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 04:54 PM
Response to Reply #9
12. One in seven AA turnout in IN
gives him 12.6%, before the non-AA.

If he gets 60% of the non-AA vote, it's around 48% total. 50/50 of the non-AA vote gives 57% to Obama. I think he will not get less than 48% in IN, effectively ending HIllary's Campaign.
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nomorewhopper Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 04:54 PM
Response to Reply #12
13. if he wins both will she drop out?
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tekisui Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 04:56 PM
Response to Reply #13
14. I think she will.
She has said she wouldn't, but that doesn't mean much. All candidates say they are in until the end.

If she loses both, I think she would drop out to avoid the embarrassment of the SD's flooding to Obama to end it for her. I think that is how it will end anyway, but if she loses both tonight, I believe she will give her concession/unity speech.
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Exilednight Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 05:09 PM
Response to Reply #12
19. Exit polling on CNN shows that Obama won the AA vote 92% to 8% n/t
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tekisui Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 05:12 PM
Response to Reply #19
20. I use 90%, but either way, it should be a good night.
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Joe the Revelator Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 04:35 PM
Response to Original message
2. If this is the case, this primary season is over
Expect a large influx of Obama SD's tomorrow.
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Avalon6 Donating Member (206 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 04:35 PM
Response to Original message
3. Remember exit polls don't include early voting
Obama does well with early voting.
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Blue_State_Elitist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 04:52 PM
Response to Reply #3
11. MSNBC just said Hillary did better with early voting.
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The Night Owl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 04:37 PM
Response to Original message
4. New video from HRC HQ shows a disconsolate HRC!
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HksXMVhxdxY

Developing...
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Leftist Agitator Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 05:07 PM
Response to Reply #4
17. Yeah, that's funny.
:eyes:
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BeyondGeography Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 04:38 PM
Response to Original message
5. How many times have we been burned this way?
Exit schmexit.
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JBoy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 04:39 PM
Response to Original message
7. Act II has begun!
Edited on Tue May-06-08 04:40 PM by JBoy
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=132&topic_id=5843175&mesg_id=5843175
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RaleighNCDUer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 04:40 PM
Response to Original message
8. I would never put any faith in Drudge -
but I believe Obama will take it by 6-8.

And I'd put money on him taking IN by 2 (but I've always liked playing against the odds).
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PoliticalAmazon Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 04:51 PM
Response to Original message
10. I guess we know why McAuliff was sweating bullets yesterday. n/t
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nomorewhopper Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 05:05 PM
Response to Reply #10
15. glad to see him sweating bullets.
his 9 lives are over if hillary sinks tonight
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Thrill Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 05:06 PM
Response to Original message
16. This is not a Surprise. I said we were going to vote much like VA and MD
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dbmk Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-06-08 05:07 PM
Response to Original message
18. You are being used:
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x5843175
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