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There seems to be quite a bit of anxiety in the Obama camp with the recent polls out of WV and KY. Some of the latest polls show Hillary up by 43% in WV! And over 30% in KY. Those are huge numbers for small states. I seriously doubt that she will reach either of those numbers but she might?
We should recall that Hillary won Pennsylvania, a large state by over 200,000 votes. Obama won NC by over 200,000 votes. I would not expect any huge numbers like that out of either WV or KY. If Hillary can win by 50,000 votes in either state, she will be lucky. That would net her about 100,000 votes. Obama could get a good portion of that back with Oregon. No doubt, Hillary will make a small gain in the popular vote but not enough to sway the election. She will gain a minimal amount of delegates.
However, Puerto Rico could be more fruitful for her if she is lucky? With 60-some delegates, she could do better there with the popular vote and the delegate count than with either KY or WV. However, she will still be far short in the delegate count. She is depending on the popular vote to appeal to the remaining super delegates.
Obama could make a large dent in Hillary's lead in KY by appealing to the state's love for basketball. Their love for the game transcends racism or the stereotypes that have been portrayed. If Obama put on a UK basketball cap and announced that he believed KY would win another national championship before his first term was over, he would win the hearts of many basketball fans. It may sound trivial but it is very important to Kentucky where basketball is a religion. He could point out that KY has won more games and more national championships than either NC or Indiana. Maybe shoot a few hoops with the UK players. It would do more for his image and vote totals than any speech he might give. I say this as a student of UK basketball history and a native of the state.
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