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OR Poll: Obama 52 (+4), McCain 38 (-4)

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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-10-08 01:03 PM
Original message
OR Poll: Obama 52 (+4), McCain 38 (-4)
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone poll in Oregon shows Barack Obama leading John McCain 52% to 38%. That’s a significant improvement for Obama compared to a month ago when he led the presumptive Republican nominee by six percentage points. In three consecutive Oregon polls, McCain has never received more than 40% support when matched against Obama. In the current poll, McCain attracts just 68% support from Republican voters in the state.

Obama leads McCain among voters under 50. With older voters in Oregon, the two candidates are essentially even. Nationally, McCain and Obama remain fairly evenly matched among all voters in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll.

The poll also found that the race would be somewhat closer if Hillary Clinton wins the Democratic nomination. In that match-up, Clinton attracts 46% of the vote while McCain earns 40%. The Oregon Senate race also has the potential to be troubling for the GOP.

Individual polls can sometimes overstate volatility in a race, especially when the results carry a four-and-a-half percentage point margin of sampling error. One way of addressing this is to look at a rolling-average of three consecutive polls. Using this approach, Obama leads McCain 49% to 39% in Oregon. With a three-poll average, McCain leads Clinton by just a single point, 44% to 43%.

Obama remains the most popular of the three candidates and is viewed favorably by 61% of Oregon voters. McCain earns favorable reviews from 52% while Clinton is viewed positively by 47%. Those perceptions are relatively unchanged over the past month.

http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/oregon/election_2008_oregon_presidential_election
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Bullet1987 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-10-08 01:09 PM
Response to Original message
1. Did Oregon go Dem in 2000 and 2004?
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MattNC Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-10-08 01:14 PM
Response to Reply #1
3. yes
by less than one percent in 2000 and around four percent in 2004 if I remember right.
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featherman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-10-08 01:13 PM
Response to Original message
2. Heck... Oregon and Washington voted for Dukakis in 1988
Edited on Sat May-10-08 01:16 PM by featherman
And has voted DEM in every election since. (They did vote for Reagan twice)

The West Coast states (CA, OR, WA, HI) are solid DEM and can be counted on in the GE
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Beregond2 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-10-08 01:22 PM
Response to Reply #2
4. I'll be surprised
if McCain makes an appearance in the Northwest at all. He'd be wasting his time. For that matter, I don't know why Hillary is bothering, but then, I don't understand why she does anything she does.
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rodeodance Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-10-08 01:26 PM
Response to Original message
5. Your sig line is the only Obama fan line that advocates VIOLENCE against Hillary on DU.
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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-10-08 01:29 PM
Response to Reply #5
7. So report me to the secret service
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rodeodance Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-10-08 01:46 PM
Response to Reply #7
8. No, my purpose was to point out that it does not contribute to civil discourse on DU.
Edited on Sat May-10-08 01:53 PM by rodeodance
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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-10-08 01:47 PM
Response to Reply #8
9. It's Just a Flesh Wound!
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gmudem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-10-08 02:33 PM
Response to Reply #8
12. You seriously need to lighten up.
It's called political satire. Nobody actually wants to chop Hillary's arms off.
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MadBadger Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-10-08 02:44 PM
Response to Reply #12
13. Its not even worth it.
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TheDoorbellRang Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-10-08 01:58 PM
Response to Reply #5
10. rodeodance, that cartoon is a parody from Monty Python
It's from the classic scene in "Monty Python and the Holy Grail" in which King Arthur encounters the black knight. Despite having his limbs hewn off by Arthur, the black knight insists on continuing the fight, taunting Arthur with cries of "coward" when Arthur refuses to continue the fight.

If you've never seen the movie, you wouldn't get the cartoon's reference. It's not advocating violence toward Clinton, it's pointing out the absurdity of the fight continuing.

Here's the scene from the movie on youtube:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2eMkth8FWno
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rodeodance Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-10-08 02:09 PM
Response to Reply #10
11. I know it is. But I do not see sig lines of Obama chopped up.
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liberaldem4ever Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-10-08 01:26 PM
Response to Original message
6. K & R!!
Go Oregon! Gobama!!! :bounce: :kick:
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