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Instead of framing Hillary needs 70% of the remaining delegates

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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
 
gabeana Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 03:49 PM
Original message
Instead of framing Hillary needs 70% of the remaining delegates
to catch up, I like to re-frame it that Obama needs only 30% of remaining delegates pledged and un-pledged combined to get to the magic number of 2024

My math is probably off but not much nevertheless we should focus not on what Hillary needs to tie but what Obama needs to win because that is the reality of the race now
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Kittycat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 03:50 PM
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1. It's it more like 29.something% now?
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HiFructosePronSyrup Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 03:52 PM
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2. Isn't it a 70 pt margin?
She needed 70% a couple of contests ago.
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gabeana Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 03:54 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. I just went to DemCon
http://demconwatch.blogspot.com/

458.5 remaming delegates Obama needs 150 more, Hillary needs 328 or so

when you go to the link it is on the left side
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mohc Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-13-08 03:55 PM
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4. 32.7%
Approximately anyway. He needs 150 of the remaining 458.5 delegates, but a portion of that is virtually guaranteed add-ons he will pick up. Unless Obama gets less than 25% of the vote tonight, he will take almost that exact percentage tonight (9 out of 28). So in what will likely be the worst performance, he will still be breaking even.
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