Will Obama Make 2025 by May 31st? - Democratic Underground

Youphemism

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Tue May-20-08 09:27 PM
Original message

Poll question: Will Obama Make 2025 by May 31st?

After tonight, Obama should have somewhere around 1960-1965 delegates (give or take).

That leaves 60-65 to go before he reaches 2025...

Do you think he can rake in enough superdelegates to do that by May 31, when they decide how to handle the delegates from Michigan and Florida?

What the heck, let's make this a poll.

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CalGator

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Tue May-20-08 09:28 PM
Response to Original message

1. I think he'll make it tomorrow

the Supers might come out in droves now that the pledged delegate majority has been clinched.

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Arkana

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Tue May-20-08 09:29 PM
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2. It's possible, depending on the superdelegate flow.

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Joe the Revelator

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Tue May-20-08 09:29 PM
Response to Original message

3. I wouldn't be shocked if he makes it by Friday

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RL3AO

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Tue May-20-08 09:29 PM
Response to Original message

4. I said no.

I don't think he will get enough supers by then. Maybe PR on June 1. I think SD and MT push him over the line on June 3.

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Cali_Democrat

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Tue May-20-08 09:30 PM
Response to Original message

5. Hillary now says that he needs 2210

She has moved the goal posts

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rocktivity

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Tue May-20-08 09:32 PM
Response to Reply #5

8. ..

:evilgrin:
rocknation

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dana_b

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Tue May-20-08 09:34 PM
Response to Reply #5

9. it's not up to Hillary.

We know it's up to those bigwigs on the 31st. I think he'll reach the magic number after June 3rd.

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rocktivity

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Tue May-20-08 09:30 PM
Response to Original message

6. Frankly, it wouldn't look good if he couldn't get 55-odd superdelegates he needs

to get to 2025 by May 31. He's in the driver's seat now--time for him to start making the rules rules.

:headbang:
rocknation

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Youphemism

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Tue May-20-08 09:36 PM
Response to Reply #6

10. I'm not sure I understand that...

His steady flow of superdelegates has been about one to six per day.

In order to get to the goal line, he'd have to make five to six superdelegates per day, even over the weekends.

It's doable, but I wouldn't say that it would look bad if he didn't.

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CalGator

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Tue May-20-08 09:39 PM
Response to Reply #10

11. but now he has the majority of pledged delegates

That is a necessity for a lot of Supers.

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rocktivity

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Tue May-20-08 09:42 PM
Response to Reply #10

13. You're absolutely right--I was thinking in terms of his checkmating Hillary

Edited on Tue May-20-08 09:43 PM by rocknation

Along with shunning the caucus votes for the popular vote, she's been dropping hints that the SDs are "hesitant" about "coming out" for Obama. A steady stream of SDs would counter that beautifully, and if that stream takes him to 2025 by May 31, Hillary will have even less leverage for that MI/FL meeting with the DNC.

:headbang:
rocknation

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gateley

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Tue May-20-08 09:31 PM
Response to Original message

7. Don't know --

this campaign has been all over the charts so many times. I'll believe it when the DNC tells us who our nom is.

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Laura PourMeADrink

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Tue May-20-08 09:42 PM
Response to Original message

12. After June 3rd - that's when Rahm and others are moving his way.

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WeDidIt

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Tue May-20-08 09:45 PM
Response to Original message

14. He'll hit 2025 by Memorial Day

He'll probably hit 2025 before the end of the week.

You heard it here first.

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Bullet1987

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Tue May-20-08 09:56 PM
Response to Original message

15. I was hoping he'd be within 30 by now to be honest

The SD flow halted a little after West Virginia. Hopefully, Obama's win in Oregon will pick up the flow a little more since he didn't have a win last week.

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