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mac2 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-20-08 11:12 PM
Original message
Obama has won most the caucus states...
however that may not be a good thing. As I thought most the caucus states are Red ones and usually the election goes to Republicans.

http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/5/18/16419/9780/304/517343

What is it about the caucus in the Red states that is so dangerous? I'd say Republicans can go in and pick a "less desirable candidate...or at least one they feel is unelectable" helping them to be the candidate so the primary Democratic candidate will be the loser.

In the next election all caucus states in the Democratic primary should become just voters. Discussion and primary issues can be discussed in other forums. We aren't getting the best choice because of this process. It is not a surprise that Republicans would love this right?

Because Hillary has won the large liberal states that shows she is more electable against a Republican?

We should just go back to voting as a means of electing a primary candidate. The caucus seems too difficult and undemocratic to me.
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cliffordu Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-20-08 11:12 PM
Response to Original message
1. Blah de blah de blah blah blah. We got it, on to the next, please.
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The Velveteen Ocelot Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-20-08 11:13 PM
Response to Original message
2. Red states like Minnesota?
Right...
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msallied Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-20-08 11:18 PM
Response to Reply #2
6. And Washington.
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MaineDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 09:58 AM
Response to Reply #2
33. And Maine? n/t
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Maine-ah Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 10:00 AM
Response to Reply #33
37. you got here before me!
:hi:
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DJ13 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-20-08 11:15 PM
Response to Original message
3. I here that the Patriots want a do over of the last Super Bowl too
:rofl:
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NewHampshireDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-20-08 11:18 PM
Response to Reply #3
5. Alright, now you've crossed the line ...
Don't even think you can laugh about that!

:evilgrin:
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NewHampshireDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-20-08 11:17 PM
Response to Original message
4. "The caucus seems too difficult and undemocratic to me."
See, that's where your wrong .... CAUCUSING IS EASY!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NLxtP2UhSLY
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mac2 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 12:01 AM
Response to Reply #4
16. If you have all the time in the world.
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yewberry Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 12:11 AM
Response to Reply #16
23. Why do you think that?
As I told you before, most caucuses allow people to sign in and leave after the first round. An hour. In my state's case, an hour on a Saturday.

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mac2 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 12:24 AM
Response to Reply #23
27. Yes... but some states are more than one day and hours
long. Who can even take over an hour when they are working?

Primary (all on the same day) and election day should be holidays. What could be more important to our democracy?
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pocoloco Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-20-08 11:18 PM
Response to Original message
7. LOL
Don't feel to fucking bad, it was difficult for Hillary to figure out also!!!!
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sandnsea Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-20-08 11:19 PM
Response to Original message
8. WA, OR, MN, WI, IL, MD, CT, ME, VT,
so could we stop with this red state caucus shit.
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jgraz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-20-08 11:30 PM
Response to Original message
9. He's also won the most primary states.

He's also won the most red states.

He's also won the most blue states.

He's also won the most swing states.

He's also won the most big states.

He's also won the most small states.

He's also won the most states with large black populations.

He's also won the most states with small black populations.

He's also won the most northern states.

He's also won the most southern states.

He's also won the most eastern time zone states.

He's also won the most central time zone states.

He's also won the most mountain time zone states.

He's also won the most pacific time zone states.

He's also won the most states that border on great lakes.

He's also won the most states that border on rivers.

He's also won the most states that border Canada.

He's also won the most states that border Mexico.

He's also won the most coastal states.

He's also won the most states with professional football teams.

He's also won the most states with one-word mottos.



Are you starting to see a pattern emerge?


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DerekJ Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-20-08 11:32 PM
Response to Reply #9
10. LOL .. recommended post.
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Alcibiades Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-20-08 11:37 PM
Response to Reply #9
12. Those states don't count
Only states such as West Virginia, Kentucky and Arkansas. You know, the core of the modern Democratic coalition.

My state of North Carolina would count, too, but we went for Obama, so we clearly do not, and we're probably lazy, to boot.
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mac2 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 12:03 AM
Response to Reply #12
18. Who said that? You do have a large African American
population. Do they caucus in your state?
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Alcibiades Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 12:15 AM
Response to Reply #18
24. No, we have a primary
Just being snarky. Any state that does not vote the "right" way gets discounted and explained away by her campaign. I also resented the implication that people who support Obama are lazy. You didn't say that, someone else did.
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foo_bar Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-20-08 11:59 PM
Response to Reply #9
14. but she won all the states beginning with "New"!
New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, New Mexico... if only New Brunswick got to vote in US elections, Hillary might be pwning. Why won't the DNC admit French-speaking Canadian delegates? They never wanted to be annexed by Canada, why is it their fault they can't vote for Hillary?
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mac2 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 12:26 AM
Response to Reply #14
28. The Canadian trade representatives did check to see if
either candidate would change their agreement if elected. They both said no. Why not we lose they gain.

The Americans union plan is a big elephant in the room that no one talks about.
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VolcanoJen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 12:02 AM
Response to Reply #9
17. Oh, snap!!!
:bounce:
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PseudoIntellect Donating Member (701 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 12:09 AM
Response to Reply #9
22. Some people tend to think that being good at caucuses = bad at primaries.
False dichotomy.
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PBS Poll-435 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 09:59 AM
Response to Reply #9
36. Accuracy is not so important on a snarky post, eh?
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Alcibiades Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-20-08 11:35 PM
Response to Original message
11. People who show up at caucuses
Might be the very ones who care more about the outcome, the ones who care about our party, the ones who take the most time informing themselves politically. It sure would be bad if people such as these picked out presidents!

Me, I want the election decided by text messaging votes in. Much more democratic.
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mac2 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-20-08 11:59 PM
Response to Reply #11
15. I don't give a blank who goes to the caucus...how do you
know what their motives are? You can get informed on CSPAN and in the news...at the campaigns, etc. If you aren't informed in this election then you never will be. It's been over a year. They don't have to be party members from what I understand.

Does that vary from state to state?
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Alcibiades Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 12:36 AM
Response to Reply #15
29. You should
Especially if you're so concerned about the strategic possibilities of crossing party lines. We do know a good deal about what makes caucus goers, and voters, tick--in fact, there's a whole subfield of political science dedicated to what we call "political behavior." Fewer folks turn up at caucuses than in primaries because it takes a greater level of interest in politics. We know this empirically: poll the caucus goers versus the voters, you'll find, on average, caucus attendees are better informed. Becoming politically informed implies an interest in politics, and there are opportunity costs involved: for most Americans, there's always something more interesting on teevee than CSPAN. That's not saying that folks in caucus states are more informed (though this is sometimes the case), but rather that the folks who care the least, and who are least informed, are less likely to go through the caucus rigmarole.


Caucus rules do, indeed, vary from state to state. In Iowa, the one most folks are familiar with, only registered Democrats can vote in the Democratic caucus, and the same goes for the Republicans. For the Republicans to invade the Democratic caucuses, thousands would have to change their registration before the deadline, which would be noticed and invite retaliation. Besides, most caucus goers care enough about the results of their own caucuses that they won't bother crashing the other party's party.
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mac2 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 12:39 AM
Response to Reply #29
30. You know every year less and less people vote?
Why make it harder for them? You think Republicans wouldn't dream of crossing into Democratic caucus meetings? The ethical Republicans?
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Alcibiades Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 09:57 AM
Response to Reply #30
32. That's simply not true
2006 43.6%
2004 55.3
2002 37.0
2000 51.3
1998 36.4
1996 49.1
1994 38.8
1992 55.1
1990 36.5
1988 50.1
1986 36.4
1984 53.1
1982 39.8
1980 52.6

You'll notice that the trend you cite began to be reversed in 2000. In the off-year election of 2006, turnout of VAP was up by over 5% compared to four years earlier. In 2004, presidential turnout was up by 6% over the low point of 1996.

Of course Republicans might crossover, but they can do this in other types of election systems, too. Still, I do think that what keeps them from doing this in large numbers is the same thing that keeps you or I from doing it--for one thing, they care about selecting their own party's nominee more than they care about monkeying with the primary of the other party, and they also have an aversion to registering as Democrats just to mess with the system. Would you register as a Republican just to vote against Huckabee? I don't care for him either, but I'll be damned if I am going to register Republican just to vote against him.

Anyway, I'm not arguing that we need more caucuses. I'm just saying that they have their virtues, and that the states where they are the means of selecting candidates have historical reasons for using this system.
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The_Casual_Observer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-20-08 11:53 PM
Response to Original message
13. McCain isn't really a viable candidate, even a bantam weight guy
Edited on Tue May-20-08 11:53 PM by The_Casual_Observer
can win against him. Let's hope it turns out better than Carter did.
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Bensthename Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 12:03 AM
Response to Original message
19. Just as you thought huh?
WOW !!!
:wow:
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Justitia Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 12:05 AM
Response to Original message
20. So how come Bill Clinton could win caucuses but his wife can't???
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HuffleClaw Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 12:08 AM
Response to Original message
21. caucuses do NOT represent how the general public vote
and that obama has won the majority of caucuses is just one more reason why obama can't win the GE
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Bensthename Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 12:18 AM
Response to Reply #21
26. I'm with you. The winner of caucuses are always the loser..
If you win a caucus you should actually lose delegates.
Our logic is way better.
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Occam Bandage Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 09:59 AM
Response to Reply #21
35. Nor do primaries. Oh, and Obama's won more primaries than Clinton has.
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Doityourself Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 10:01 AM
Response to Reply #21
38. Bill won caucuses didn't he?
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Writer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 12:16 AM
Response to Original message
25. I think this has become such a big issue because...
Clinton's pull in these populous blue states demonstrates a stronger pull of the Democratic base in the GE. Obama's strengths, of course, are among disenchanted Republicans and Independents.

And this is why, against all our wishes, they should share the ticket.
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mac2 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 12:42 AM
Response to Reply #25
31. If they are Republicans and Independents why would they
vote for Obama with Hillary as VP? They had a chance to vote for Hillary and did not.
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SoonerPride Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 09:58 AM
Response to Original message
34. He's our nominee.
The end.
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high density Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed May-21-08 10:04 AM
Response to Original message
39. I think "chaos" Republicans are far less likely to waste hours participating in a caucus
That said, I think they're a pain in the ass and would be very happy to see them gone by the next primary season. Right now obviously is not the time to change them.
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