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Okay, I'm bored with the primaries now. It's been over since March.
The Democratic Party picks its nominee based on delegates. All the delegates. Popular vote means nothing, because the caucus only states don't report total votes. That's why we use the delegates. Maybe you don't like that system. Maybe I don't either, but that's the system. It's not going to change this cycle.
The only metrics by which Hillary can win now is a convention over-turn of the Obama nomination. Yeah, there are some mathematic situations where Hillary could win. There's also a chance monkeys will fly out my butt. Hillary is not going to get her way with the metrics. 2025 Delegates are needed to win the race. No more. No less. Hillary can toss random numbers out there as long as she wants and it's not going to change that. Hillary's only metric for leading in the popular vote is a disingenuous one where Hillary gets all her votes from Michigan and Obama gets none, Florida counts as-is, and none of the caucus states count.
Obama has passed the Pelosi number and I suspect we'll continue to see 3-6 supers per day move his way. Some will switch from Hillary.
Here's the bottom line though: Obama goes into the convention with more delegates. There is zero question about that. So, as far as I'm concerned, Obama wins. I'm moving on to the general.
I'd encourage the rest of the Obama supporters to come on over to regular GD with me. Hillary can run until convention as far as I'm concerned. The media is more and more focused on McCain/Obama. I am too.
Here, let me sum up the next two and a half weeks for you. Hillary wins Puerto Rico. Obama wins Montana and South Dakota. Nothing changes. Obama still wins.
If Hillary stays in after that, fine. Take it to convention. If the DNC chooses to play by the rules (and I think they will) Obama will be the winner. If the DNC chooses Hillary over Obama, the party will implode, and McCain will be president.
See you guys and gals in General Discussion.
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