Obama remains ahead by 182 delegates. He needs only 64 of the remaining 309 delegates to win (the

309 delegates are composed of 86 voter-selected delegates whose primaries have not yet occurred, 9 of the original 19 Edwards delegates who have not yet followed the other 10 Edwards delegates and re-pledged to Obama, and 214 super delegates who remain on the fence).

Obama has already won an insurmountable 1656.5 to 1501.5 majority of voter-selected delegates (she could not catch him even if he withdrew from the race and was removed from the ballots in the upcoming primaries and the early votes for him were not counted).

Among the super delegates, Obama leads Hillary overall 304.5 to 277.5, he leads her 20 to 13 among their Senatorial colleagues who know them best and work with both of them, he leads her 93 to 81 among Congressional Representatives, he leads her 14 to 11 among Governors, he leads her 150.5 to 148.5 among DNC super delegates, and he leads her 21 to 15 among add-on super delegates.

http://demconwatch.blogspot.com/

So it is VERY VERY unlikely that many will go to Clinton from those states THIS late in the game.

in any great numbers from even those states she won. I expect that Sen. Byrd is typical, and delegates from Hillary's Appalachian Belt of support will have all the more incentive to show that not everyone from that region is anti-"whatever."

thanks

Edwards through the first vote at the convention or will follow Edwards' endorsement of Obama. If you take them off the table for Hillary (and they basically are off Hillary's table), then Hillary needs 88%.

add ons from Obama states (5 this week) and a large number of SDs that he has kept in his pocket for the end - including SDs from Illinois and Hawaii.

Then you have the Pelosi SDs and the pledged delegates in the last three campaigns.