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$#!^ - Kerry leads 48-41 in HAWAII !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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UrbScotty Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-10-04 12:27 PM
Original message
$#!^ - Kerry leads 48-41 in HAWAII !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Edited on Tue Aug-10-04 12:33 PM by ih8thegop
:wtf::wtf::wtf::wtf::wtf::wtf::wtf::wtf::wtf::wtf:

http://www.electoral-vote.com/

Gore won this state by 18 points. How could Kerry be leading by just seven now?!?!

Kerry's leading by more in Pennsylvania and Michigan than in Hawai'i!
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David Dunham Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-10-04 12:28 PM
Response to Original message
1. Hawaii always improves for Dems at the end.
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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-10-04 12:29 PM
Response to Original message
2. that is interesting
but I have no doubt in the end it will be solid for Kerry.
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pmbryant Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-10-04 12:29 PM
Response to Original message
3. Don't worry about Hawaii
Polls are erratic creatures, viewed individually. A poll in California a couple days before the 2000 election showed Gore up by only a single percentage point.

Peter
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Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-10-04 12:30 PM
Response to Reply #3
6. There was one that showed Bush ahead I think.
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Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-10-04 12:30 PM
Response to Original message
4. Polls swing around a lot. There was one that showed us within 7 in Indiana
a while back. It happens.
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Hoosier Democrat Donating Member (386 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-10-04 12:34 PM
Response to Reply #4
10. HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA
Sorry, but the idea of any Democratic Presidential candidate being only 7 points down in Indiana is hilarious.

Unfortunately, most of the folks here in Indiana will just blindly pull the GOP lever for president, irregardless of who's running.

When I went to an event a few years ago where the Great Ann Richards was speaking, she talked about how, when she was a girl, Indiana was called "The Alabama of the North". It's not much better now. In 2000, Gore only carried 6 out of 92 counties.

We in Northwest Indiana should petition for annexation into Illinois or Michigan!!
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skooooo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-10-04 12:49 PM
Response to Reply #10
12. I think this is a hold over..

..from the 1920s from when the Klan practically owned the state. It's stayed very conservative, relatively speaking.
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beyurslf Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-10-04 12:30 PM
Response to Original message
5. HI is always Dem. I don't think it has ever gone R.
Edited on Tue Aug-10-04 12:30 PM by beyurslf
On edit: 1984, I suppose it did. Any other times though?
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UrbScotty Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-10-04 12:32 PM
Response to Reply #5
8. Well, Crookhous Nixon in 1972
Massachusetts was the only state not to go for him.
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lancdem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-10-04 12:31 PM
Response to Original message
7. Relax, he'll win Hawaii
I doubt either campaign is even spending any money there. Kerry is using his resources in battleground states.
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calico1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-10-04 12:33 PM
Response to Original message
9. Well, if the DNC wants to pay us
maybe some of us can go campaign for him in HI! Anyone want to go? :-)
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VOX Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-10-04 12:42 PM
Response to Original message
11. In 2002, Hawaii elected a Republican governor, Linda Lingle...
I recently received an immersion lesson in current Hawaiian politics by crunching the state information for the DU database.

The state will no doubt go for Kerry, but the Republican presence there is probably stronger than ever before.
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athena Donating Member (771 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-10-04 10:48 PM
Response to Reply #11
13. No, it's not so simple.
You have to live in Hawaii to know why we have a Republican governor here. Hawaii is as liberal as ever (Kucinich got 30% of the vote in the primaries here; that's the highest in the U.S.), and h*ll, I'm a left-wing nutcase, and I supported Lingle.

It's like this: before Lingle, Hawaii had a Democratic governor for 40 years. The Democrats were in charge for so long that they became complacent. There was corruption everywhere, and the only way out was to elect someone who would really change things and make the Democratic party get back to its senses. In fact, by that time, the Democratic party was more conservative than the Republican party. Lingle, for example, was pro-gay, whereas Hirono was anti-gay (Hawaii is 2% gay).

There you have it. This is when I learned why a country needs more than one real political party. Now, I have nothing against the Republican party per se. Sure, the national Republican party has been taken over by neocons, but if it were dominated by normal, reasonable, traditional, secular Republicans, I would be much less of a leftist.

It would help if Kerry would show up here. I guess I should start campaigning here. I always thought it wasn't necessary.
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Longhorn Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-10-04 10:59 PM
Response to Reply #13
14. Welcome to DU!
And thanks for the interesting insight into Hawaiian state politics!
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athena Donating Member (771 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-10-04 11:08 PM
Response to Reply #14
15. Thanks,
Edited on Tue Aug-10-04 11:12 PM by athena
I just want to add that Lingle is an incredible woman. She is a very good speaker. If she were the governor of a more important place like New York, I have no doubt she would be the first woman president.

My only problem with her is that she's a Republican: she's pro-business, and she claims to support Bush. I can't imagine how anyone as smart as she is can be anything but disgusted with Bush. I suspect she does that to get the support of the administration. She'll probably be supporting Kerry once he's president.

Edited to add:
Here is her biography, for anyone who is interested:
http://www.hawaii.gov/gov/gov/biography.html
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Leilani Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-11-04 12:00 AM
Response to Original message
16. Everyone is at the beach....
& apathy reigns right now.

Seriously, why not post this in our state forum...someone more informed than I can give you an answer.

I know Kerry will easily win..but I don t know by how much.
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genius Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-11-04 12:42 AM
Response to Original message
17. That's bad. Hawaii is mostly Democrat
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Guaranteed Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-11-04 01:07 AM
Response to Original message
18. It's because rich people are moving there. nt
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athena Donating Member (771 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-11-04 03:06 AM
Response to Reply #18
19. There are lots of very poor people in Hawaii.
Also lots of minorities. That's why it's so liberal. I don't know the statistics, but there seems to be a small number of people who are wealthy, and a large number who are poor, including lots of homeless people starving on the streets.

People in Hawaii just don't think they matter. Nobody ever cares about Hawaii; the election is usually over by the time it's Hawaii's turn. Furthermore, everybody knows Hawaii will vote Democratic. Lots of liberals in Hawaii don't bother to vote, I think, because they think Hawaii will go liberal by default.

This is why it's so important to get rid of the electoral college. The system is outdated and undemocratic. The president should be decided by the popular vote, as in other democracies.
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KharmaTrain Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-11-04 03:18 AM
Response to Original message
20. We Got The Right State In 1959
Hawaii is one of the proudest Democratic states and one of the most progressive. The Bush recession has cost that state dearly in tourism revenue and it got hit, like most other states, with drastically reduced state revenues thanks to the tax giveaway to the rich.

We still have 3 months to go and eventually I see this regime imploding over its arrogance and incompetence...and millions of Americans waking up and energized to make a change.

Cheers to the great Aloha state...a place I'd love to retire to someday...especially since it's truely a Democratic paradise.
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Wabbajack Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-11-04 04:55 AM
Response to Reply #20
23. 'especially since it's truely a Democratic paradise."
Except for that Governor they got....
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athena Donating Member (771 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-11-04 07:17 PM
Response to Reply #23
24. Don't you read any posts?
I explained why Hawaii has a Republican governor a few posts above. She is a pro-gay, pro-environment, pro-reducing-poverty Republican governor, much more liberal than the conservative so-called Democrat she was running against.

And don't be such a know-it-all about states you've obviously never lived in and clearly know nothing about.
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Wabbajack Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-11-04 08:17 PM
Response to Reply #24
25. Nonsense
"much more liberal than the conservative so-called Democrat she was running against."

That's nonsense.
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oasis Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-11-04 03:35 AM
Response to Original message
21. plenty military folk who tend to vote rethug. Guess I'll be busier than
I figured.
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Wabbajack Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Aug-11-04 04:54 AM
Response to Original message
22. Incumbant Presidents
usually do well in Hawaii. Don't worry though Kerry will still win it even if it's not by 18 points.
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MyUncle Donating Member (798 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-12-04 08:19 PM
Response to Reply #22
26. Wabbajack, Athena knows what she says.
It is true. The Republican Jewish Female Governor is more Liberal than the Democrats around here.
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marlakay Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Aug-12-04 08:37 PM
Response to Original message
27. Its a war time vote
But Kerry will still win. My daughter lives in Honolulu and her husband is in the military, Air Force. They are voting for Kerry, her boss is ex military and he is for Kerry. But a lot on base are stupidly for Bush. They had a party and some people saw her Clinton book and gave her a bad time.

I am going over in Sept for two weeks, and bringing my buttons, bumper stickers and attitude!! I am staying lots of places on two islands and will be major bush bashing in the spas...that's how I vacation!
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MyUncle Donating Member (798 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Aug-13-04 02:11 PM
Response to Reply #27
28. Bush Bashing in the Spa.
Sounds like and oxymoron. Aloha and enjoy the Islands.
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