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grantcart Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-31-08 07:49 PM
Original message
DemconWatch New Magic Number 64
Edited on Sat May-31-08 07:54 PM by grantcart
http://demconwatch.blogspot.com/




. . . . . . Pledged(GP). . Super. . Total. . Needto Win
Obama. . . 1724.5. . . . . 328.5. . 2053. . . . 64

Clinton. . 1586.5. . . . . 290. . . 1876.5 . . 240.5

Edwards . . . 12.5

Remains. . . . 86. . . . . .205. . . 291

Updated 5/31/2008 Delegates Needed: 2117
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ProSense Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-31-08 07:54 PM
Response to Original message
1. 8
64 - 35 (from remaining contest) = 29

29 - 21 (add ons) = 8
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grantcart Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-31-08 08:56 PM
Response to Reply #1
16. and you will see the 8 downthread
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grantcart Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-31-08 07:58 PM
Response to Original message
2. delegate misc
Edited on Sat May-31-08 08:07 PM by grantcart
Add ons this week

Maine 1 6/1/2008 Selected during the State Convention
Kentucky 1 6/7/2008 Nominated by the Chair and selected during the State Convention
Minnesota 2 6/7/2008 Elected during the State Convention
Pennsylvania 3 6/7/2008 Selected by the Pennsylvania State Democratic Committee
Texas 3 6/7/2008 Elected at the state convention
Vermont 1 6/7/2008 Selected by a quorum of elected district level delegates

Mississippi 1 6/7/2008 Selected by the State Convention
Montana 1 6/8/2008 Selected during the State Convention


Pelosi Club that have not yet announced

Sen. Maria Cantwell (WA) - most pledged delegates, most states won

Uncommitted:
Rep. Nancy Pelosi (CA) (added 3/30)
Christine Pelosi (CA) (added 3/30)
Gov. Roy Romer (CO) (added 3/30) (removed 5/13 - endorsed Obama)
Former President Jimmy Carter (GA) (added 5/1)
Betty Richie (TX) (added 3/30) (removed 5/29 - endorsed Obama)
Denise Johnson (TX) (added 4/6)
Chris Van Hollen (MD) (added 5/24)
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habitual Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-31-08 07:59 PM
Response to Original message
3. thanx for this, i've been waiting for the update from them
and thank you personally for all you do with providing 'the math', i can't tell you how much i appreciate your efforts.
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grantcart Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-31-08 08:10 PM
Response to Reply #3
6. thank you
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cliffordu Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-31-08 07:59 PM
Response to Original message
4. As usual, clear, clean and to the point....
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grantcart Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-31-08 08:14 PM
Response to Reply #4
7. Looks like we are going to have to call off Apeshit Wednesday.
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AtomicKitten Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-31-08 08:00 PM
Response to Original message
5. Bring it home, Barack ;)
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phrigndumass Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-31-08 08:21 PM
Response to Original message
8. And here's where they'll come from ...
Edited on Sat May-31-08 08:22 PM by phrigndumass
Expected delegates for Obama:

24 pledged delegates from Puerto Rico
10 pledged delegates from Montana
9 pledged delegates from South Dakota
5 superdelegates from Pelosi Club
19 add-on superdelegates from Obama states won

67 additional delegates expected.

2,051
+ 67
-------
2,118

(on edit: this doesn't include the flood of elected superdelegates which is sure to come, or the Edwards pledged delegates)
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grantcart Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-31-08 08:25 PM
Response to Reply #8
11. don't forget Edwards delegates
the two turncoat delegates

Intrade asking rate for Obama 98 lol

Somebody should by a single share just to set the new price lol
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berni_mccoy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-31-08 08:23 PM
Response to Original message
9. According to DCW RCB Scenario 3, OBAMA HAS CLINCHED THE NOMINATION!
http://demconwatch.blogspot.com/2008/05/fl-mi-by-numbers_21.html

PD Majority: 1705

Obama PDs: 1724

GOBAMA!
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Swamp Rat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-31-08 08:23 PM
Response to Original message
10. When do the goal posts move again?
I need to go stock up on popcorn. :popcorn:
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rocktivity Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-31-08 08:30 PM
Response to Reply #10
14. She's way ahead of you
Edited on Sat May-31-08 08:34 PM by rocknation


:evilgrin:
rocknation
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Swamp Rat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-31-08 08:46 PM
Response to Reply #14
15. I guess I'll stock up on beer and ear plugs too.
:D
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WillYourVoteBCounted Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-31-08 08:26 PM
Response to Original message
12. when is the "flood" going to happen?
I've got my waders ready.
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grantcart Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat May-31-08 08:26 PM
Response to Reply #12
13. Clyburn has set a time for a press conference at 11 am Tuesday
I believe
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grantcart Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jun-01-08 12:36 AM
Response to Original message
17. final number from DemconWatch - magic number 65
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grantcart Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jun-01-08 05:29 PM
Response to Original message
18. Obama + 18 delegates 16 from Puerto Rico and 2 SDs
New magic number


48
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