What everyone has been waiting on. - Democratic Underground

ccharles000

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Fri Jun-06-08 02:56 PM
Original message

What everyone has been waiting on.

My prediction on who will win what states.

Obama-ME,MASS,NH,VT,NY,RI,NJ,DEL,MD,DC,ORE,WASH,CALIF,MINN,WIS,ILL,COLO,VA,NM,PA,NC,MICH,LA,MO,HAWAII

McCAIN-SC,TEX,KAN,TENN,GA,MONT,SD,ND,ARIZ,NEV,ID,IND,OHIO,WVA,FLA,MISS,ARK,NEB,OKLA,UTAH,WYO,ALA,KY,IOWA,ALASKA

Sorry to keep everyone waiting.

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democrattotheend

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Fri Jun-06-08 02:58 PM
Response to Original message

1. You're giving McCain Iowa?

I think Iowa is the Bush state from 2004 that is most likely to flip. It's one of the two states that Gore won but Kerry lost, Obama spent a ton of time there during the caucuses (while McCain largely bypassed Iowa and focused on New Hampshire), and I have heard he is quite popular there. I certainly think Iowa is more likely for Obama than North Carolina.

Otherwise I think your predictions are pretty good though.

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PBS Poll-435

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Fri Jun-06-08 02:58 PM
Response to Original message

2. My Official Prediction - Prodn2000 6/6/8

Edited on Fri Jun-06-08 03:06 PM by prodn2000

And Make Your Own at USAToday.com

http://www.usatoday.com/news/politics/election2008/electoral-vote-tracker.htm

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TheWraith

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Fri Jun-06-08 03:13 PM
Response to Reply #2

7. I think we don't get AR, and maybe not FL, but we do get VA, the Carolinas as a toss up...

Also Montana and the Dakotas in play.

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Kerrytravelers

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Fri Jun-06-08 03:00 PM
Response to Original message

3. Whew! I can move forward with the rest of my day now!

:evilgrin:

Actually, I think Nevada is open to being flipped. I have lots of experience with Nevada politics and I see the migration of Californians moving into the state, and taking their politics with them, and the high number of Independent voters in Nevada an open door for Obama to walk through. I would bet his campaign has a plan to flip the state. And I bet they are successful. He could likely take most of the west, and make Grumpy McSame fight for every vote he gets in the McCain Safe States, like Arizona for example, where Obama is polling tighter than previously expected.

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MrCoffee

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Fri Jun-06-08 03:01 PM
Response to Original message

4. I think you're in for a Southern surprise.

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Toucano

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Fri Jun-06-08 03:07 PM
Response to Reply #4

5. I think you're right

GA, SC, VA and NC are going to be in play.

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arewenotdemo

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Fri Jun-06-08 03:19 PM
Response to Reply #5

9. I'd like to be that optimistic

I think he can take VA if he chooses Mark Warner as his VP.

CO, NM, NV, IA and OH are the others I'd be targeting.

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TheWraith

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Fri Jun-06-08 03:10 PM
Response to Original message

6. I think Ohio and Iowa are ours. nt

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LSK

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Fri Jun-06-08 03:15 PM
Response to Original message

8. Iowa is definately ours and I think we got Ohio too

We did pretty good in Ohio in 2006.

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frickaline

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Fri Jun-06-08 03:20 PM
Response to Original message

10. I guess Christmas came early this year

:)

Nice picks but I think we'll do better! I think McCain will have a tough fight in these 'pink' states.

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Fri May 03rd 2024, 03:20 AM
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