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30% of Conservative Democrats Say They'll Vote for McCain - This does not add up at all

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EV_Ares Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-31-08 12:39 PM
Original message
30% of Conservative Democrats Say They'll Vote for McCain - This does not add up at all
I think this is a bs poll by Rasmussen and these numbers do not add up. Maybe someone else can make sense of them.


Thirty percent (30%) of conservative Democrats say they're voting for John McCain. Rasmussen Reports data also shows the Republican hopeful picking up support from 19% of White Democrats and 15% of Democrats over the age of 50. These results are from national telephone survey interviews conducted with 14,000 Likely Voters during the two weeks ending July 24. The sample includes 5,074 Democratic voters. The data shows that 43% of Democrats consider themselves politically liberal, 37% say they're moderate, and 18% are conservative.

Forty-one percent (41%) of conservative Democrats have a favorable opinion of John McCain. Sixty-seven percent (67%) say the same about Obama.

Among liberal Democrats, just 23% have a positive opinion about McCain, but 90% give Obama favorable reviews.

Obama is supported by 78% of Democrats overall, a figure that includes 62% of conservative Democrats. He leads 84% to 13% among Democrats under 30. But, among those over 65, Obama earns just 74% of the vote while McCain is preferred by 16% of Democratic senior citizens. It is interesting to note that just 2% of Democrats under 30 hold back from selecting either Obama or McCain. That number grows to 9% among Democrats over 65. While Obama is losing some Democratic voters, he begins with a significant advantage over McCain by virtue of the fact that there are far more Democrats in the country than Republicans.

Overall, there are twice as many uncommitted voters at this point in Election 2008 as there were four years ago. An analysis released yesterday showed that there are more Democrats than Republicans in the uncommitted category, but that they are leaning more towards McCain than Obama.

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll shows that the race between Obama and McCain remains competitive. Other key stats of Election 2008 are updated daily at Obama-McCain: By the Numbers.

Link: http://news.yahoo.com/s/rasmussen/20080731/pl_rasmussen/mccainelection20080731

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tallahasseedem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-31-08 12:40 PM
Response to Original message
1. Because...
their numbers never add up. I bet there is GOP money behind these numbers big time.
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EV_Ares Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-31-08 12:42 PM
Response to Reply #1
4. Yeah, for example I could not make sense of these percentages:
Thirty percent (30%) of conservative Democrats say they're voting for John McCain.

19% of White Democrats and 15% of Democrats over the age of 50.

Obama is supported by 78% of Democrats overall, a figure that includes 62% of conservative Democrats.

How does that work?
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AndyA Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-31-08 12:41 PM
Response to Original message
2. Bullshit. I do not believe it. More propaganda attempting to influence people.
Edited on Thu Jul-31-08 12:41 PM by AndyA
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Lorien Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-31-08 12:42 PM
Response to Original message
3. Obama is a conservative Democrat
the political compass puts him at Right-Authoritarian. The poll is BS.
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asjr Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-31-08 12:43 PM
Response to Original message
5. It must be jelly cause jam don't shake like that.
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gcomeau Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-31-08 12:50 PM
Response to Original message
6. And what percentage of Democrats...
...are they defining as "conservative"?
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truthisfreedom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-31-08 12:51 PM
Response to Original message
7. Makes perfect sense... "telephone poll" means "land line poll." Who has land lines anymore?
Old people.
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sharp_stick Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-31-08 01:06 PM
Response to Original message
8. 30% of self id'd conservative democrats
This group (conservative democrat) usually counts as about 15 to 18 percent of the entire dem demographic. Therefore 30% of 18% comes out to about 5.4% of the democratic populace which is probably about right.

This chunk of the democratic group is probably the amount that would consist of the dixicrat or redneck racist democratic group that maintains "affiliation" with the Democratic party because their family still hates republicans. Think Zell Miller who is still mad that he can't buy Barack Obama to work in his kitchen. Zell Miller is still a Democrat.
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EV_Ares Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-31-08 02:30 PM
Response to Reply #8
9. Yeah, when you look at it Rasmussen was really working hard to make the #s say
Edited on Thu Jul-31-08 02:30 PM by EV_Ares
something that in actuality they really were not and as you show, it is a very small percentage, a percentage that has always been there. Its a really worthless poll but it does show you what you can do with numbers I guess.
-----------------------

Thirty percent (30%) of conservative Democrats say they're voting for John McCain.

19% of White Democrats and 15% of Democrats over the age of 50.

Obama is supported by 78% of Democrats overall, a figure that includes 62% of conservative Democrats.

How does that work?
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