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McCain Can Not Break 44%

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berni_mccoy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-12-08 12:19 PM
Original message
McCain Can Not Break 44%


Since Obama won the nomination, McCain has been unable to hit 45%.

I love how the media focuses on saying Obama can't break 49%... they keep saying he has a big problem if he can't get greater than 50%. However, they neglect to look at McCain who is doing far worse. They also forget this isn't just a 2-person race and it's unlikely Obama will break 50%... he'll probably be within 1% of 50 either way, while McCain will be somewhere between 48 and 49%.

All this is moot. Presidents do not win based on popular vote. It's the electoral votes that matter.
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SteelPenguin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-12-08 12:22 PM
Response to Original message
1. do these polls take Bob Barr into account?
When the time comes to vote, I have a feeling you're going to see McCain's numbers drop 5-7% as Barr filters off otes. If McCain isn't beating Obama by 5% in a state, there's a decent chance, imho, it'll go for Obama on Election day.
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berni_mccoy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-12-08 12:26 PM
Response to Reply #1
4. They ask for Other, Neither or No Opinion in addition to Obama and McCain
If they asked for specific names, I'm sure it would be different.

Right now Other gets 1% and Neither gets 4%. 6% are not expressing an opinion.
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FrenchieCat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-12-08 12:24 PM
Response to Original message
2. Yes, he CAN'T!
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mvd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-12-08 12:24 PM
Response to Original message
3. 5 points 2 days in a row is a good sign
It's been quite a while since that happened.
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Ichingcarpenter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-12-08 12:34 PM
Response to Reply #3
6. I think Obama taking his vacation during the Olympics was brilliant
McCain just looks like a big whiner during the Olympics
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mvd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-12-08 01:53 PM
Response to Reply #6
9. I agree
It also forces the media not to divert with stuff about Obama as much.
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jbonkowski Donating Member (243 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-12-08 12:34 PM
Response to Original message
5. I will be skeptical until I see 50%+
This poll leaves 11% unspoken for. That 11% has to vote for someone.

I recall being quite optimistic at this point about Gore and Kerry the last two times.

jim
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Bullet1987 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-12-08 12:43 PM
Response to Original message
7. This is all MSM misinformation
When 3rd Party candidates are included, Obama's lead is greater.
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Bucky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-12-08 01:29 PM
Response to Original message
8. My new website is going to "McCainis44.com"
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Liberal_Stalwart71 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-12-08 01:55 PM
Response to Original message
10. I have been screaming this about McSame ever since he "clinched" the nomination
McSame was the *best* that the Repukes could do and that's very sad. Why aren't isn't the M$M asking why McSame--the one who supposedly has all of this experience and is "ready to lead"--can't seem to break 44% or 45%, even with the terrible, negative attack ads. I think it's quite sad.
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otohara Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-12-08 02:11 PM
Response to Original message
11. But, But, Obama CAn't Break 50%
and that's what's important, according to MSM
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mikekohr Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Aug-12-08 02:43 PM
Response to Original message
12. RCP lists 35 National Poll Results Since 5/25/2008
Senator Obama led in 34 of those polls and is currently ahead by an average of 4.8%.

mike kohr
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