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Starting to look like the GOP won't get the disaster they were looking for

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blitzen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-31-08 04:35 PM
Original message
Starting to look like the GOP won't get the disaster they were looking for
It's looking more like a Houma-Morgan city event than a New Orleans one. Sure, it will be rough, but those places are built to handle it.

Glad they evacuated NO, but the GOP attempt to capitalize on disaster has been sickening.
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skooooo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-31-08 04:36 PM
Response to Original message
1. Not sure what you mean...

...it's going to be a Cat. 4 hurricane when it reaches land again. That's pretty darn big.
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blitzen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-31-08 04:39 PM
Response to Reply #1
5. Probably a mid-range 3....The levee system in Houma and Morgan City
is much more sound than in NO. Each parish in LA has (or had) it's own levee authority--some are better than others.
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skooooo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-31-08 04:40 PM
Response to Reply #5
6. That's not what CNN is saying. nt
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blitzen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-31-08 04:43 PM
Response to Reply #6
10. None of the official forecasts are saying Cat 4 anymore...
True, it could happen.
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skooooo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-31-08 04:44 PM
Response to Reply #10
12. They're saying it right here...

http://www.cnn.com/video/#/video/weather/2008/08/31/wolf.gustav.update.cnn

Hope you're right, but I keep seeing Category 4 all over the place.
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blitzen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-31-08 04:48 PM
Response to Reply #12
14. this is the official forecast, track and intensity
http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200807_5day.html#a_topad

CNN is wrong, but that's not a surprise!
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stray cat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-31-08 04:41 PM
Response to Reply #5
8. Sounds like you and I are both watching weatherunderground
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blitzen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-31-08 04:44 PM
Response to Reply #8
11. Yep, and since I live in Baton Rouge, I been checking it obsessively
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dbonds Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-31-08 05:18 PM
Response to Reply #5
17. My friend that lives in Houma disagrees with you about the levees.
He says there are in need of repair and if they are topped the whole city will be underwater 8 feet deep. He got the hell out of there yesterday.
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blitzen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-31-08 05:25 PM
Response to Reply #17
18. Well, he would probably know better than me...Glad he got out.
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Lost-in-FL Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-31-08 04:41 PM
Response to Reply #1
9. The storm is going at 18 mph!!
At that speed it would be difficult to straighten and it could weaken. If the storm slows down THAT is a problem. So... RUN GUSTAV RUN!!!
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Motown_Johnny Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-31-08 04:38 PM
Response to Original message
2. and it is making landfall just west of NO, so the worst flooding may occur there
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skooooo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-31-08 04:39 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. If it hits west of NO, that's even worse for the city..

The worst of the winds are on the east side of the storm. That means this will hit NO potentially harder than Katrina did.
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Motown_Johnny Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-31-08 04:46 PM
Response to Reply #3
13. that was exactly my point
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skooooo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-31-08 04:48 PM
Response to Reply #13
15. ok
:hi:
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blitzen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-31-08 04:41 PM
Response to Reply #2
7. 60-100 miles west...Far enough away, one hopes.
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stray cat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-31-08 04:39 PM
Response to Original message
4. They are now forecasting it will stay at level 3 and move west hitting NO with level 2 winds
Edited on Sun Aug-31-08 04:40 PM by dmordue
at least according to weatherunderground. The belief is that the storm has altered enough that the levees should hold if they have been built as stated to handle a level 3.
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RollWithIt Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-31-08 04:52 PM
Response to Original message
16. Ummm, it will be worse for New Orleans this time....
They are forecasting storm surges as high as 20 feet to the east of landfall. For those not in the know, the right side of a hurricane is always the most dangerous as far as water goes.
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blitzen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-31-08 05:27 PM
Response to Reply #16
20. Here's the latest storm surge forecast map...
It's kinda hard to tell, but it looks like 9-12 feet around New Orleans

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200807_surge.html#a_topad
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Rowdyboy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Aug-31-08 05:25 PM
Response to Original message
19. Please don't start celebrating yet....this is still potentially devastating for
hundreds of thousands of innocent people, mostly poor and middle class.

I hope we're lucky but no one really knows yet.
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