RAS TRACKING POLL: Obama 47, McCaint 44. No Change. No Palin bounce.

jefferson_dem

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Mon Sep-01-08 08:35 AM
Original message

RAS TRACKING POLL: Obama 47, McCaint 44. No Change. No Palin bounce.

Edited on Mon Sep-01-08 08:38 AM by jefferson_dem

Daily Presidential Tracking Poll
Monday, September 01, 2008

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows Barack Obama attracting 47% of the vote while John McCain earns 44%. When "leaners" are included, it�s Obama 49%, McCain 46%. Those figures are unchanged from yesterday and little changed over the past several days (see recent daily results). Tracking Polls are released at 9:30 a.m. Eastern Time each day and a FREE daily e-mail update. is available.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

Also, check out the trend for Obama's favorables. At 58% they are higher than ever.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/favorable_ratings_for_presidential_candidates

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grannie4peace

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Mon Sep-01-08 08:36 AM
Response to Original message

1. i guess that's good

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DemocratSinceBirth

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Mon Sep-01-08 08:37 AM
Response to Original message

2. Maybe Close Presidential Races Are A Fixture Of American Political Life

I think there are more opportunities for McCane and Palin to mess up than Biden and Obama...

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Hope And Change

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Mon Sep-01-08 08:37 AM
Response to Original message

3. It`s all good.K & R!

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Franks Wild Years

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Mon Sep-01-08 08:40 AM
Response to Original message

4. Probably underestimating the female vote again.

A couple of days ago Obama had a 13% lead amongst females and a 6% deficit with men, which somehow equated to a four point advantage in their poll. Given that women usually out-vote men by a few percentage points, it's possible that the real picture is considerably different.

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highplainsdem

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Mon Sep-01-08 08:41 AM
Response to Original message

5. You left out the internal poll numbers showing that "enthusiasm among Republicans for McCain is up

Edited on Mon Sep-01-08 08:44 AM by highplainsdem

significantly since the announcement of Alaska Governor Sarah Palin as his running mate. Fifty-one percent (51%) of GOP voters now have a Very Favorable opinion of McCain, the first time he has ever topped the 50% level in that measure. On Friday morning, just 43% were that enthusiastic about McCain."

That is an 8-point bounce in McCain's Very Favorable rating among Republicans. So Palin has made their voters more enthusiastic about their ticket, though it hasn't shown up in a shift in poll numbers overall. Choosing her shored up their base.

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jefferson_dem

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Mon Sep-01-08 08:48 AM
Response to Reply #5

7. Yeah. Obviously, this was not a "maverick" choice at all but an appeal to the rabid right.

n/t

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Teaser

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Mon Sep-01-08 09:26 AM
Response to Reply #5

9. Not a problem.

Edited on Mon Sep-01-08 09:26 AM by Teaser

Plouffe assumes a good turnout for their base in his scenarios.

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apnu

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Mon Sep-01-08 08:47 AM
Response to Original message

6. This I expected. Palin was all about nullifing Obama's DNC bounce. (nt)

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Teaser

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Mon Sep-01-08 09:27 AM
Response to Reply #6

10. Didn't seem to work then.

This is a large bounce for the Rasmussen polls. It is really averse to large swings, and shows them only infrequently.

The four day moving average and party ID quotas make sure of that.

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bigdarryl

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Mon Sep-01-08 09:23 AM
Response to Original message

8. Tracking polls are BULLSHIT!!!!!!!

this is a state by state election and if you look at the states its a lot different. Thats why the Obama campaign isn't talking about tracking polls that show a close race

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Honeycombe8

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Mon Sep-01-08 09:29 AM
Response to Original message

11. Obama is viewed favorably by 58%, but McCain is by 57%. About tied.

Why is that? This disturbs me. Obama should be comfortably ahead when speaking of the nation as a whole and unaffiliated voters.

These newest figures are good news, but the report you linked to also said that McCain got a 7% bounce in "very favorable opinion" of him by GOP voters since Friday, meaning that he has energized his base, as many of us thought.

No one said it would be easy. As long as he wins in the end is all that counts, I guess.

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JoshDem

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Mon Sep-01-08 10:01 AM
Response to Original message

12. Likely race will be dead even at end of week following repub convention

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