MSNBC is really pushing the latest CBS poll to claim the race is tied.

elkston

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Fri Sep-05-08 12:20 PM
Original message

MSNBC is really pushing the latest CBS poll to claim the race is tied.

Thanks to some statistical anomaly, the latest CBS poll has Obama and McCain tied at 42%. (Obama is still in the lead with Rasmusen and Gallup).

So all day MSNBC has been highlighting this poll and again pushing the meme that the "game is on".

Give me a break!

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JaneQPublic

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Fri Sep-05-08 12:22 PM
Response to Original message

1. Their ratings and profit margin demand a horserace. (nt)

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mzmolly

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Fri Sep-05-08 12:43 PM
Response to Reply #1

12. Absolutely. And they want to make this race about Obama vs. Palin.

:eyes:

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Bobbie Jo

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Fri Sep-05-08 12:25 PM
Response to Original message

2. Notice the cable news polls are closer on average?

Just an observation, I have not researched it...just saying?

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dbonds

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Fri Sep-05-08 12:25 PM
Response to Original message

3. Not a statistical anomaly, CBS changed their demographic percentages.

Edited on Fri Sep-05-08 12:27 PM by dbonds

They took away 5% independents and added 5% republicans to their demographics.

So more like statistical manipulation.

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Brotherjohn

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Fri Sep-05-08 12:39 PM
Response to Reply #3

9. AAAAHH! NOW it makes sense. I thought it was weird that there were 2 CBS polls...

... so close in succession: one right after the DNC (Obama 8 pts up) and another in the middle of the RNC (tied). That was odd, given most other polling organizations had waited until after the DNC to conduct polls (none during the convention), and apparently are also waiting until after the RNC, too (daily polls excepted).

I don't worry about the CBS poll; and I think others will show a slight bounce for McCain. But I think in a couple of weeks, Obama wil have a solid lead (4-8%) averaging all polls. Of course, the media will still say it's "tied" citing MOE and some individual polls of their choosing, because they want the horserace for ratings.

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Brotherjohn

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Fri Sep-05-08 12:40 PM
Response to Reply #3

10. Where did you get the breakdown (by party)? (nt)

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dbonds

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Fri Sep-05-08 01:03 PM
Response to Reply #10

15. Basing those numbers off TPM election central thread

http://tpmelectioncentral.talkingpointsmemo.com/2008/09/poll_obamas_lead_disappears_in.php#comment-3079137

You can get the base numbers for this poll from http://www.cbsnews.com/htdocs/pdf/AUG08B-THURS.pdf

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villager

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Fri Sep-05-08 12:26 PM
Response to Original message

4. Is there anything more pitiful than a desperate whore still hated by their client?

They stay on their knees, and still the GOP loathes them...

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City Lights

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Fri Sep-05-08 12:30 PM
Response to Reply #4

7. ...

:thumbsup:

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Marsala

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Fri Sep-05-08 12:29 PM
Response to Original message

5. Oh to heck with it.

The media will push the horserace no matter what. It could be a fifteen point gap and they would push it. Let's just take heart that it will motivate our side even more.

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Wapsie B

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Fri Sep-05-08 12:29 PM
Response to Original message

6. The book, "On Bended Knee" comes to mind in stories like this.

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WA98296

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Fri Sep-05-08 12:30 PM
Response to Original message

8. Who are you going to believe, those POLLS or your lying eyes?

The polls are BS.

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HughMoran

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Fri Sep-05-08 12:42 PM
Response to Original message

11. Doesn't matter - they probably will be tied in 2-3 days anyway

Let them be the "first" to state this.

The fight is on - let's stop whining and start shining.

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JoshDem

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Fri Sep-05-08 12:48 PM
Response to Reply #11

13. Yup--or we will be losing most likely

Bottom line--race will be around dead even over next two months so we better get used to it.

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AtomicKitten

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Fri Sep-05-08 12:52 PM
Response to Original message

14. They'll make it a horserace whether it is one or not. Ratings are what matters, doncha know?

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