McCain Is `Tied or Behind' in Swing States He Needs for Victory

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601103&sid=aMkg.UvIx23w&refer=us

McCain Is `Tied or Behind' in Swing States He Needs for Victory

By Michael Tackett

Sept. 8 (Bloomberg) -- For John McCain and Barack Obama, the race for the White House is a battle of the old and the new -- and it has little to do with age.

The U.S. presidential election is shaping up as a contest over the old America of Ohio's shuttered factories and Michigan's fading auto plants, as well as the newer America that loops from Northern Virginia's suburbs through the Sun Belt and west to Colorado.

While a sputtering economy and an unpopular war may give the Democrats an edge heading into the eight-week sprint to the Nov. 4 vote, other issues lurk in the background. Chief among them is whether Americans are ready to elect their first black president in Obama, 47, an Illinois senator.

``Democrats go into '08 as very clear favorites because of the obvious facts,'' says Merle Black, co-author of ``Divided America: The Ferocious Power Struggle in American Politics'' and a political science professor at Emory University in Atlanta. ``In that sense, it looks like Obama's election to lose.'' Still, Black adds, ``he might lose it.''

Many Republicans say they have the greater burden. Arizona Senator McCain, 72, is ``either tied or behind in every swing state,'' says John Weaver, a former top adviser. ``It's an uphill battle, cobbling together 270 electoral votes.''

Republicans face voter dissatisfaction

Really shows the strategy and thinking of both campaigns...

Well worth reading!

Thanks for the link.

K&R

:patriot:

It will eventually come down to these 3. Obama NEEDS to win 2 of them. If he wins all 3 - it will be all over for McSame.

If he can put PA and MI out of play for McSame in the next couple of weeks it will be great. That will put him at 259 EV with NM, NV, CO, MT, VA, FL, NC still in play.

Ohio is what I'm most worried about, but Jennifer Brunner has done an excellent job preventing Republican vote theft.

I also think Obama will take Iowa, New Hampshire, New Mexico, Virginia and Colorado.

Just everyone remember - ignore the national polls! State polls are what matter most!