|
A couple months ago, when Obama was kicking ass with a huge double digit lead, I saw a news story that explained that when the polls included only likely voters, the race was a dead heat.
The report went on to explain that younger voters, like the ones who registered in large numbers to support Obama, were historically "not likely to show up on election day". Recently, I saw another report that these 18-26 year olds were now polling as even less likely to vote this election than earlier in the summer.
Since the revelation back in July that the race would be nearly tied when counting only likely voters.... the polls have been closely tied.
Now... I'm not one for conspiracy theories, but I know the newsies have a reason to want a close race to the finish, so I wonder if legions of young Obama supporters are being discounted as "unlikely" to keep ratings up for "The best Political Team On Television".
Even today on the local CBS news, the story in Ohio was that Obama took the lead "49% to 44% among likely voters" (Their words exactly).
In NASCAR races, in order to keep the fans in their seats when a leader gets too far ahead of the pack, they quickly find "debris" on the track and bring out the yellow flag. This bunches up the field, and creates an exciting shoot out at the finish line.
Cable news knows what NASCAR knows, if the race isn't close, viewers will change the channel to a football game.
Given all that, I hope the pollsters are wrong about younger voters, and I hope they don't become disillusioned or cynical and stay home on election day because they think their vote doesn't matter.
|