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Daily Kos/Research 2000 tracking Poll: Obama 47 McCain 46 (complete crosstabs here)

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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-12-08 02:42 PM
Original message
Daily Kos/Research 2000 tracking Poll: Obama 47 McCain 46 (complete crosstabs here)
The Daily Kos Research 2000 tracking poll (MoE +/- 3) shows a one point lead for Obama, and a one point gain for McCain. Yesterday's poll was here.

DAILY KOS PRESIDENTIAL TRACKING POLL 2008

DATE MCCAIN OBAMA BARR NADER OTHER UND

12-Sep 46% 47% 2% 2% 1% 2%

MEN 50% 42% 3% 3% 1% 1%
WOMEN 43% 51% 1% 1% 1% 3%

DEM 13% 82% 1% 1% 1% 2%
REP 90% 7% 1% 1% 0% 1%
IND 45% 42% 4% 4% 1% 4%
OTH 46% 42% 3% 3% 2% 4%

WHITE 57% 35% 3% 2% 1% 2%
BLACK 4% 93% 0% 0% 0% 3%
LATINO 27% 67% 0% 1% 0% 5%
OTHER 7% 85% 0% 0% 0% 8%

18-29 30% 62% 0% 1% 0% 7%
30-44 49% 44% 4% 1% 1% 1%
45-59 44% 48% 2% 3% 1% 2%
60+ 55% 39% 1% 3% 1% 1%

NE 37% 56% 1% 1% 1% 4%
SOUTH 55% 38% 3% 1% 1% 2%
MIDWEST 44% 49% 2% 2% 1% 2%
WEST 44% 48% 2% 3% 1% 2%


RESULTS FROM SINGLE DAY SAMPLE

DATE MCCAIN OBAMA BARR NADER OTHER UND
12-Sep 46% 46% 2% 2% 1% 3%

Sample: 364
Error margin: 5.1%


MCCAIN FAVORABILITY

DATE FAV UNFAV NO OPINION
12-Sep 56% 43% 1%


OBAMA FAVORABILITY

DATE FAV UNFAV NO OPINON
12-Sep 57% 41% 2%


BIDEN FAVORABILITY

DATE FAV UNFAV NO OPINON
12-Sep 52% 31% 17%


PALIN FAVORABILITY

DATE FAV UNFAV NO OPINON
12-Sep 51% 37% 12%


GENERIC CONGRESSIONALBALLOT
DATE DEM REP UND
12-Sep 47% 41% 12%
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Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-12-08 02:43 PM
Response to Original message
1. What I like about the Research 2000 numbers is that the cross-tabs make sense with what we know
about the electorate.
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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-12-08 02:46 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. yep, and that McCain's closeness is made up entirely of the South
Edited on Fri Sep-12-08 02:47 PM by WI_DEM
Obama leads in all other regions.
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Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-12-08 02:49 PM
Response to Reply #2
4. Exactly. McCain can only win the South once.
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treestar Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-12-08 02:48 PM
Response to Original message
3. Interesting about the ages - what is it about the 30-44 group?
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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-12-08 02:53 PM
Response to Reply #3
5. That's my age group--We can do better than that!
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ChimpersMcSmirkers Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-12-08 03:27 PM
Response to Reply #5
7. Mind too, kind of weird...
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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-12-08 03:22 PM
Response to Original message
6. kick
amazing how many responses bad poll numbers get and how few good ones do.
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Franks Wild Years Donating Member (687 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-12-08 03:32 PM
Response to Original message
8. Pathetic turncoat "Democrats" are harming Obama
Edited on Fri Sep-12-08 03:33 PM by Franks Wild Years
I sincerely hope it's these people who lose their jobs and homes first in the event of a McCain victory. Lord knows they deserve it if they're going to go down that path. Any 'Democrat' who has enjoyed the Bush administration enough to vote for McCain is, frankly, a racist. That's undeniable.
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