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In the research 2000 tracking Obama ahead 48-45

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gabeana Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-15-08 09:32 AM
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In the research 2000 tracking Obama ahead 48-45
http://www.dailykos.com/dailypoll/2008/09/15
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Jennicut Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-15-08 09:35 AM
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1. Is that today? Wow. Just wow. McCain's bounce is no more if other polls validate this.
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RDANGELO Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-15-08 09:44 AM
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2. They have Obama up by 8 points in the crucial Midwest.
A few days ago it was only 3.
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Hope And Change Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-15-08 09:45 AM
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3. K & R!
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ps1074 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-15-08 09:52 AM
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4. While this is good news...
Looking at the internals their sample is:

35D
26R
30I

A 9 point democratic advantage. If this holds - great. But I think the actual turnout spread will be no more than 4 points, which if weighted right now will give McCain a 2 or 3 point lead.
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