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InsiderAdvantage Colorado poll: Obama 51% McLiar 41 %, Obama leads by 10!!!

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Gnister Donating Member (139 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-18-08 02:52 PM
Original message
InsiderAdvantage Colorado poll: Obama 51% McLiar 41 %, Obama leads by 10!!!
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/RCP_PDF/IA_Colorado_Poll91808.pdf?click
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Drunken Irishman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-18-08 02:53 PM
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1. I don't believe he's up by ten, but I do believe he's up.
I think maybe 4-7 point lead for President Barack.
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backscatter712 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-18-08 02:59 PM
Response to Reply #1
6. Yeah, hard to say.
Edited on Thu Sep-18-08 03:00 PM by backscatter712
Lots of polls are swinging hard to Obama in the past couple of days, but the previous polls of Colorado I've seen showed Obama a couple points behind McCain. Ten points make me think this one might be an outlier.

This is encouraging, but I'll have to see some more polls before I'll say we're getting a swing going our way.
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Thrill Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-18-08 02:55 PM
Response to Original message
2. They won't talk about this poll. They cherry pick the ones that look good for McCain
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Drunken Irishman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-18-08 02:57 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. At this point, they might not have anything to talk about then...
Because nearly every poll is moving in Obama's favor!
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flamingdem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-18-08 02:58 PM
Response to Original message
4. bitchin'
tide is a turnin'
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otohara Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-18-08 02:59 PM
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5. Demo Breakdown Looks About Right ON
I'm knocking on wood and taking deep deep breaths - back to phone banking those Colorado voters now.
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geek tragedy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-18-08 03:08 PM
Response to Reply #5
9. Party ID is messed up--keep on hustling!
With that breakdown, you're essentially looking at something like 50% registered Democrats, which is ridiculous.
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geek tragedy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-18-08 03:06 PM
Response to Original message
7. Something is WAY off about this poll.
There are more registered R's than D's in Colorado, McCain leads amongst Independents, but trails by 10?


No.
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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-18-08 03:07 PM
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8. Interesting--they have Obama doing better with those aged 30-64 than 18-29
not a lot better but somewhat. I think most polls if taken together would show a modest Obama lead in Colorado.
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Obamarulz11 Donating Member (402 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-18-08 03:22 PM
Response to Original message
10. What a day for the polling
Indiana plus 3
Florida plus 4
Colorado plus 10

WOW
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sam kane Donating Member (326 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-18-08 03:28 PM
Response to Original message
11. How high does the spread have to be to overcome the CO SOS?
I'm worried that we are going to "lose" Colorado because the Republican SOS threw 20% of Dems off of the rolls.

We need a 20 point margin at least, I think.
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