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Not to be a copy-paster, but I gotta refer back to what I said in the Michigan thread itself: "What's also hurting Dems in Michigan is the unpopularity of the state Democratic party. Everywhere else across the nation, the Democratic parties of each state are experiencing a resurgence in strength. Even Republican Texas has seen it's Democratic party grow, along with hopes of taking back the state house.
However, Michigan is excluded from this trend. Michigan's economy is poor, and many view Gov. Jennifer Granholm as not doing enough to fix it (her approval is at 36% right about now). Also in play is Kwame Kilpatrick's corruption, indictment and resulting resignation. Not only is this a blow to the state Dem party, but also--unfortunately--will make Whites uneasy about voting in a Black man to the highest office of the land.
As many commentators have noted, Michigan's race relations are rather poisonous.
Michigan will be a close state, but my guess is Obama will win narrowly. McCain's best hope to win Michigan would have been to name Romney as his running mate--the only state (besides maybe Nevada) Romney would have been of help to. Obama will churn out the large Black population in Detroit (about 83%) and will win just enough suburban votes to give him narrow victory."
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