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The bailout IS needed but Congress/Americans Citizens will likely get screwed.
The credit market has frozen. Even banks with cash are not lending to ANYONE. They aren't lending to consumer, they aren't lending to businesses, they are not lending to other banks.
With no liquidity it will be VERY bad for the little guy. The rich can survive off being rich. The middle class needs credit. Unless you want to buy a car w/ cash Unless you want to purchase your next home once you have $200K cash in bank. Unless you can remodel your home w/o consumer credit or Home Equity loan.
The problem isn't the bailout. The problem is Congress has no idea what the assets are worth.
Take a 1 billion block of "non-performing loans". Non-performing means stopped payments, foreclosure pending, late payments, missed payments, partial payments, etc. Basically anything other than 100% on top.
By def. a non-performing loan is NOT worth face value. Non-performing debt is sold for cents on the dollar. So what is a good price. 0.70 on the $, 0.60, 0.50 on the $?
If the loans are worth $0.52 on the $ and Congress pays $0.80 on the $ likely they will think they are getting a "good deal". We paid $800 million and picked up $1 Billion in loans..... YEAH YEAH WE ROCK..... (sigh). In reality due to defaults those loans will only return $520 million so taxpayers lost $280 million and the banks cleared $520 million is value for $800 million in cash.
On the other hand in Congress drives a hard bargin and demands no more than say $0.45 on the $1.00 they pick up $1000 million for $450 million. After defaults that is worth $520 million. Taxpayers actually come out AHEAD $70 million!!!!!
The problem is generally speaking Congress sucks at anything financial. They pay too much on contracts, they demand too little penalties, the have no idea what anything is worth. I have no doubt this will be just as bad.
Congress WILL WAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAY overpay for the bad debt.
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