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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) |
HardWorkingDem (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue Sep-23-08 12:41 PM Original message |
If the Bradley Effect is true, what margin is safe for Obama? |
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Ian David (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue Sep-23-08 12:42 PM Response to Original message |
1. 3% for The Bradley Effect, plus an additional 5% for Election Fraud and Voter Suppression. n/t |
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AnarchoFreeThinker (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue Sep-23-08 01:03 PM Response to Reply #1 |
7. 538 suggests it's a myth, but there may be a REVERSE Bradley effect in the South. |
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writes3000 (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue Sep-23-08 12:46 PM Response to Original message |
2. Please Read This... |
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KingFlorez (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue Sep-23-08 12:47 PM Response to Original message |
3. I don't think that's a problem |
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HardWorkingDem (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue Sep-23-08 12:55 PM Response to Reply #3 |
4. Oh, how I wish that were true, but I don't.... |
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leftynyc (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue Sep-23-08 12:58 PM Response to Reply #4 |
5. Same here |
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FloridaGrl (615 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue Sep-23-08 01:08 PM Response to Reply #3 |
9. I agree |
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ShortnFiery (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue Sep-23-08 12:59 PM Response to Original message |
6. BULLSHIT! Where was "The Bradley Effect" in Iowa? Thanks for your UNFOUNDED concern |
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HardWorkingDem (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue Sep-23-08 01:05 PM Response to Reply #6 |
8. I'll tell you where my "unfounded" concern is at... |
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ShortnFiery (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue Sep-23-08 01:11 PM Response to Reply #8 |
10. That's what's termed in Psychology, IMO, as "learned helplessness" and has NOTHING to do with |
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elkston (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue Sep-23-08 01:12 PM Response to Original message |
11. I'd say between 3% - 4%. So we need to be up by 5 points in all the important states. (eom) |
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liskddksil (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue Sep-23-08 01:18 PM Response to Original message |
12. Whatever effect there is is cancelled out |
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elkston (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Tue Sep-23-08 01:19 PM Response to Reply #12 |
13. That's what I am counting on. The "new" will overwhelm the "old" and we win (eom) |
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