How Much Longer Can The Folks At The Battle Axe Poll Pretend McLoser Is Winning?

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/RCP_PDF/BG_2-way-ballot-trender-9-25.pdf

Them ^


Everybody else:


http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/general_election_mccain_vs_obama-225.html

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Dear Ms Lake:

I have been watching the Battleground Poll for at last the past three election cycles and have noticed a sampling bias that invariably favors the Republicans. If I remember correctly it was wrong in 00 but right in 04.

I have seen panels with you on it, only days before the presidential elections, and you predict a Democratic win while "your" poll predicts a Republican win.

Right now The Battle Ground Poll has McCain winning 48% -46% while every other poll in the field including three other tracking polls shows Senator Obama winning, ergo:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/general_election_mccain_vs_obama-225.html


http://www.dailykos.com/

I realize some polls are of likely voters and some polls are of registered voters but it's hard to believe that explains all the difference.

Thank you.

Brian


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Actually in 2004 the poll unfortunately predicted bush. I said kerry. The poll was right. I was wrong. I think at the time of the calling most polls showed even or 2 points either way. This is fats (sic) moving so important to compare same calling dates. The battleground is also a conservative turnout model and is likely voters

Celinda Lake