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Question: Are Rasmussen and Gallup polls automated or done by a human?

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elkston Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-28-08 09:13 PM
Original message
Question: Are Rasmussen and Gallup polls automated or done by a human?
I'd like to know because I am trying to factor in the Bradley Effect. If they are automated then we can almost eliminate the Bradley Effect because secrecy is greater and thus those polled are more apt to reveal their true opinion.

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KaryninMiami Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-28-08 09:14 PM
Response to Original message
1. I can only speak for Gallup and only a portion of their polling-
I am one of the folks they poll and yes, I confess- I am human!
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elkston Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-28-08 09:16 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. :) Nice, but I was referring to those conducting the poll, not the ones being polled.
Edited on Sun Sep-28-08 09:18 PM by elkston
Was it an automated, "touch tone" process? Or did an actual person ask you the questions?
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KaryninMiami Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-28-08 09:21 PM
Response to Reply #2
4. Mine come via email every few weeks or so. Not by phone-
but my understanding is they are live people by phone.
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maseman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-28-08 09:19 PM
Response to Original message
3. 100% human except the actually phone dialing
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elkston Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-28-08 09:27 PM
Response to Reply #3
6. Hmmm. Ok. Now that I think about it though ...
Edited on Sun Sep-28-08 09:28 PM by elkston
Polling over the phone (with a live human) actually does involve a fair amount of personal detachment that may be sufficiently "anonymous" for a potential voter to reveal what they really think.

Historically, the Bradley Effect was determined by exit polling where voters talked to *actual humans* and expressed who they voted for. In that case the actual face to face encounter probably created more anxiety and increased the chances of telling a white lie to hide "guilt".

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maseman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Sep-29-08 08:31 AM
Response to Reply #6
12. There is some truth to that
Polling over the phone is pretty accurate in that people tend to be more honest. The few areas where it is tough is when you use aided recall.

Ask a Chicago Cubs fan if they watched the game last night. They'll say "yes" even if they were in a different country last night. A "yes" supports the team. Also, research has shown, that people tend to say "yes" to yes or no questions because we typically do not like to disappoint others. A yes can be viewed usually as supportive no matter what the question. Last, Yes answers can usually move an interview along more quickly and some people will do what they can to get to the end of a survey.

Overall the magic is in the way the questions are written and the talent of the interviewer.

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torbird Donating Member (513 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-28-08 09:27 PM
Response to Original message
5. As near as I can tell, there is no evidence to suggest that the so-called Bradley Effect is real
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dontforgetpoland Donating Member (152 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-28-08 09:27 PM
Response to Original message
7. Rasmussen polling is automated... at least the 2 times I've been called were.

Note, these 2 polling calls were for 2 separate elections.
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elfin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-28-08 09:31 PM
Response to Original message
8. When I was polled by Rasmussen it was
automated, but seemed to go on to different questions depending on my answer - took about 5-10 minutes.
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PaDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-28-08 09:35 PM
Response to Original message
9. I was polled by Gallup a couple weeks ago
and it was a human. She asked me about 200 questions.
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onetwo Donating Member (439 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-28-08 09:54 PM
Response to Original message
10. The question isn't, "Would you vote for a black man?," it's "Obama or McCain?"
People can latch onto any one of dozens of real/manufactured reasons for not voting Obama. There is no public expectation that anyone vote for Obama; on the other hand, there exists the very real pressure on people to conceal any racist leanings.

In actuality, it is more likely that McCain/Palin feel the negative Bradley Effect. Some white people may feel self-conscious about expressing public support for a black man. What they'll tell a human pollster may be at odds with what happens when they're in a private voting booth.

Either way, I doubt the Bradley Effect is good for more than a 1 or 2 point variation from the polls.
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valerief Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Sep-28-08 10:19 PM
Response to Original message
11. Naw, they're hard coded and updated regularly by a Bilderberg Group secretary.
Jes' guessin'.
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