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AZ State Univ. Arizona Poll: McCain 45%, Obama 38%

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Hope And Change Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-01-08 02:19 PM
Original message
AZ State Univ. Arizona Poll: McCain 45%, Obama 38%
http://www.azpbs.org/horizon/poll/2008/9-30-08.htm
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YOY Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-01-08 02:20 PM
Response to Original message
1. You expect more from AZ?
It's his home state!
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Renew Deal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-01-08 02:22 PM
Response to Reply #1
3. Honestly, that's a terrible number for McCain.
He should be up 58-38
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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-01-08 02:23 PM
Response to Reply #3
6. Agreed to be running so far under 50% in his homestate shows how vulnerable McCain is.
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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-01-08 02:20 PM
Response to Original message
2. Obama gained 8-points since previous poll (McCain gained 5) maybe
McCain will have to spend some money in his home state.
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Bicoastal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-01-08 02:22 PM
Response to Original message
4. Wow, that's really damn close for the Republican candidate's home state....
Meanwhile, Obama is currently winning Illinois by 16 and Hawaii by 33.
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ObamaKerryDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-01-08 04:00 PM
Response to Reply #4
24. Wow, he's STILL not leading by double digits? In a state he's 'represented' for like 26 years?
Of course, I'm an Arizonan and I can attest that he hasn't done much to deserve our loyalty. Hell, he's hardly ever here? I'm not 100% sure about this, but I heard he hasn't even been to my area (Tucson) since 1997! And judging from the lack of McCain advertising and the surge of that of Obama's I've seen here in the past few weeks, it's looking like he's just taking it for granted, quite possibly to his peril..

I'll be happy if we keep it close here, but if we take it...wow. I will be soo fucking proud of my state. :D *hopes*
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4_Legs_Good Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-01-08 02:23 PM
Response to Original message
5. Wow! Only 7 points behind in his home state?
I'd like to hear McSame say the same about Illinois!

David
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HiFructosePronSyrup Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-01-08 02:24 PM
Response to Original message
7. So Obama's winning Florida by more than McCain's winning Arizona.
I say that puts Arizona in contested territory.
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1corona4u Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-01-08 02:24 PM
Response to Original message
8. That's great....wonder how much more it will move
towards Obama before the election....
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blondeatlast Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-01-08 02:30 PM
Response to Original message
9. Wowowow. My district chair said that AZ was winnable at the debate Thursday and I suppressed a laugh
I take it back--and pledge another hour of door-knocking on Saturday even if it is 100 degrees.

Our own senator <50%? !SI, SE PUEDE!
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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-01-08 03:08 PM
Response to Reply #9
11. It's tough to take somebody's home state, even Mondale carried Minnesota in the Reagan landslide
the only state he won besides DC.
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Cha Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-01-08 03:12 PM
Response to Reply #9
13. Thanks for that door knocking, blonde!
mccain is performing so poorly that even people who've voted for mccain in the past must be doing some hard thinking.
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blondeatlast Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-01-08 03:16 PM
Response to Reply #13
15. I've encountered some independents that are. The feeling is he can't do much
damage in the Senate, but as president he gives people some serious chills.
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Cha Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-01-08 03:35 PM
Response to Reply #15
21. Feelings right on.
mccain will be regaled to Senator from Arizona unless some enterprising politician wants to challenge him in the next election..they'd have a wealth of ammunition all coming from mccain's mouth.
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Beregond2 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-01-08 03:07 PM
Response to Original message
10. AZ baffles me.
With all the northeasterners that have moved there, how can it still be a red state?
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rufus dog Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-01-08 03:11 PM
Response to Reply #10
12. I think it is the heat
Does something to their brains. This is a state that elected Evan Mecham, the guy was not only a racist, but a buffoon.
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maui9002 Donating Member (342 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-01-08 04:41 PM
Response to Reply #12
28. Large Mormon population. Lots of retirees. Lots of rural voters.
And re Mecham, he won in an election in which he was one of three candidates; the other two split the "reasonable vote". And he was impeached, not really for any wrongdoing, but rather an acknowledgement by the public that he was a complete embarrassment to the state and unfit to be our governor.
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blondeatlast Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-01-08 03:14 PM
Response to Reply #10
14. We are geopgraphically huge and rural. Only the cities are
getting the influx of newbies.

The rural areas are still very much Goldwater country.
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Neshanic Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-01-08 03:37 PM
Response to Reply #10
23. I LIVE here and I don't get it.
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SurfingAtWork Donating Member (788 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-01-08 03:16 PM
Response to Original message
16. This is about what I'd expect. Outside of the Phoenix and Tucson metro areas, this state is full of
Edited on Wed Oct-01-08 03:31 PM by SurfingAtWork
Morans
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blondeatlast Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-01-08 03:21 PM
Response to Reply #16
19. T-U-C-S-O-N. nt
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SurfingAtWork Donating Member (788 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-01-08 03:31 PM
Response to Reply #19
20. Thanks. Noted and reflected. You'd think that having lived here all my life I'd know how to spell
That.
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RichGirl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-01-08 03:18 PM
Response to Original message
17. Isn't Obama up by like 41% in his home state of Hawaii...
...and he isn't even senator there.
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Arugula Latte Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-01-08 03:20 PM
Response to Original message
18. Why can't McCain close the deal ... in Arizona (?! ... WTF?!)
:rofl:
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budkin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-01-08 03:36 PM
Response to Original message
22. Wow!!! Really bad for McCain!
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Robbins Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-01-08 04:03 PM
Response to Original message
25. Arizona
If Mccain wasn't from there Arizona would likely be a battleground.Even so Obama Is killing him In
Hawaii,and Illinois yet A local Arizona poll has Mccain with just 7 over Obama.That Is telling
about Mccain In Itself.
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blondeatlast Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-01-08 04:07 PM
Response to Reply #25
26. As an AZ native--AZ would likely be a republican lock without McCain..
We went for Clinton in 1992 but not in '96 but this is a deep red state with pockets of blue.

However, Maricopa Cty (the largest and home to Phoenix) has rapidly changing demographics. Nonetheless, this should be an easy red win--but this year, the RNC is going to have to work at it.
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Robbins Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Oct-01-08 04:22 PM
Response to Reply #26
27. Actully
I hate to Insult you but Clinton lost In 92(Possabily because of Perot) But won In 96.

Besides that I will take your word for the rest.
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