R2K Tracking Poll Saturday: O52, M40 - Democratic Underground

BzaDem

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Sat Oct-04-08 06:41 AM
Original message

R2K Tracking Poll Saturday: O52, M40

This tracking poll contains data from Wednesday night (+11), Thursday night (+12), and Friday night (+13).

:) :) :)

http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/10/4/72458/7102/1023/619365

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regnaD kciN

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Sat Oct-04-08 06:48 AM
Response to Original message

1. And the hits just keep on coming...

Boy, I like that progression! :-)

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Marsala

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Sat Oct-04-08 06:52 AM
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2. Biden bounce?

Or anti-Palin bounce?

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Hope And Change

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Sat Oct-04-08 06:52 AM
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3. Yay...K & R!!

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Schulzz

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Sat Oct-04-08 06:54 AM
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4. Why does Obama never hit 50% in the polls?

:sarcasm:

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regnaD kciN

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Sat Oct-04-08 07:06 AM
Response to Reply #4

5. To be honest, R2K seems to have a Democratic "lean"...

...compared to the other trackers. (I think their turnout model is a bit off.) Still, even if +12 is too much, you might correct by subtracting the MoE...and still get an Obama lead of 9%.

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BzaDem

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Sat Oct-04-08 07:17 AM
Response to Reply #5

6. This is true. But Rasmussen (of all pollers) also has Obama at 50+ for several days.

It is interesting though that Obama is relatively stable at 48-51 in almost all polls, while McCain frequently loses and gains voters to and from the undecided pool. Hopefully some of these undecideds that keep thinking about going with McCain (only to change their mind the next day) will eventually come to Obama.

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Drunken Irishman

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Sat Oct-04-08 01:11 PM
Response to Reply #6

9. Gallup has Obama at 50% right now, too.

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mrreowwr_kittty

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Sat Oct-04-08 01:12 PM
Response to Reply #5

10. I think they're weighting Dem voters more accurately.

I'm sorry, but I don't believe these polls that have equal numbers of Rs and Ds when we've added 11 million new voters to the rolls and people are changing their affiliation in droves.

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WillyT

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Sat Oct-04-08 07:24 AM
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7. Love The Visuals !!!

:bounce:

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MindMatter

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Sat Oct-04-08 01:10 PM
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8. There is a cumulative effect.

We must beware the "Bradley effect" of course, but these polls seems to me moving out of that danger zone. There seems to be an effect that some people weren't so sure about a black man with a funny name. But now that they see that millions of other Americans have made that choice, maybe it is OK. There may be another 5010% where that came from.

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