The Daily Fix: A Compilation of Today's Polls and Where Things Stand - 10/5/2008
We logged a few state polls today and the usual tracking polls, so lets get right to the scoreboard for the latest polls to come out, starting with the national ones.
National Polls
Kos/R2K: Obama 52(unchanged), McCain 40(unchanged)
Rasmussen: Obama 51(unchanged), McCain 44(-1)
Gallup: Obama 50(unchanged), 43(+1)
Hotline: Obama 48(unchanged), McCain 41(unchanged)
RCP Average: Obama 49.3(unchanged), McCain 43.4(unchanged)
Pollster Average: Obama 50.2, McCain 42 - (Does not include Gallup Daily Tracker for today which has Obama up 7 points.
We've logged a few state polls that have shifted electoral map in a one state.
Minnesota
Star Tribune: Obama 55(+10), McCain 37(-8)
This is the poll I reported on yesterday that I predicted Obama would open up a lead in. I do not however think Obama is up 18 points, but I do believe he is up by about 11 like the CNN poll showed. That would make this state more of a safe Obama state, and not a lean Obama state.
Ohio
Columbus Dispatch: Obama 49(+8), McCain 42(unchanged)
Another poll coming out on Tuesday from PPP is rumored by the people there to look more like this than the SUSA numbers.
Colorado
Mason-Dixon: Obama 45(unchanged), McCain 45(+3)
This one looks like an outlier like most of the Mason-dixon polls seem to be lately.
Pennsylvania
Morning Call: Obama 50(-1), McCain 40(+1)
Obama still rolling here.
Overall, here is where I think things stand right now, with one change, Minnesota moving into the position of safe Obama and not lean Obama
A little Weekend Extra: Senate Numbers
If the Election were held today, this is what Electoral-vote says as to the projected Senate: A Democratic Advantage of 58-42. I think that increases by 1 with Franken taking Norm Coleman's seat to make it an advantage of 59-41. However, it will ultimately be 58-42 because the Dems will throw Lieberman on the street.