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Anybody else having trouble geting excited "yet" about Obama's great looking poll numbers?

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RiverStone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 03:28 PM
Original message
Anybody else having trouble geting excited "yet" about Obama's great looking poll numbers?
I am cautiously optimistic that Barack Obama will be our next president!:) And I simply can't wrap my mind around the possibility of a different outcome.

There is a cascade effect going on with the polls over the last several days; we are seeing amazing shifts to blue in virtually all the battle ground states. A few talking heads in the corporate MSM, most notably Chuck Todd yesterday - are now suggesting McLame has to completely run the table of EVERY remaining toss up state and 100% hang on to every BushCo state left to defend, to even have a slight chance of victory.

Conventional wisdom suggests at least a 10 point Obama lead is needed to buffer against voting machine fraud.

How about you? With all this good news, are you able to sleep any better leading up to the election? A little better....maybe...but not until I see McLame surrender will I celebrate. :party:

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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 03:29 PM
Response to Original message
1. I'm happy about them, but then I recall that just a month ago McCain was up by five in Gallup Poll
so I know that a month is a lifetime in politics, but on the whole I think the trends are looking good for Obama.
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lamp_shade Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 03:29 PM
Response to Original message
2. It's all about CAUTION this election cycle. Right?
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uponit7771 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 03:29 PM
Response to Original message
3. I'm optomistic but in now way I'm I going to stop talkin to people about voting in this eletction in
...Texas, I think Obama can take the state seeing that ~ 3 million new citizens mostly from coastal states are new voters here.
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FrenchieCat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 03:30 PM
Response to Original message
4. I am cautious. I have no faith in polls,
But certainly am encouraged.

In terms of a victory, that I have no doubt about.....because otherwise, look for a total complete breakdown of the global financial Market. An Obama win is the only thing that will restore confidence in the United States' ability to rise from the economic ashes......and I'm being very serious.
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hasssan1 Donating Member (439 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 03:33 PM
Response to Reply #4
10. Exactly. good point
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THUNDER HANDS Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 03:30 PM
Response to Original message
5. yet?
I knew he was going to win in a landslide the day after Iowa.
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bullimiami Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 03:31 PM
Response to Original message
6. cautiously optimistic. but i know its not over until its over.
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WeDidIt Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 03:31 PM
Response to Original message
7. October 6, 2004: Kerry 232 Bush 285
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hasssan1 Donating Member (439 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 03:32 PM
Response to Original message
8. I am happy but we have 4 weeks to go and it can be very Dangerous when you deal with fascist and scu...
bags. OBAMA MUST FIGHT BACK HARD AND PUSH FORWARD. the funddies are going to smear him every day. it's also up to us to help the campaign and do whatever we can to expose the lies and smears .
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RoadRage Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 03:32 PM
Response to Original message
9. Yes. NH in the primaries is all i need to remember.
I'll celebrate on 11/05 after McCain's concession speech is flooding YouTube. Until then - tinfoil hat on, and campaigning hard as hell!
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SmokingJacket Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 03:33 PM
Response to Original message
11. I have only just now allowed myself a shred of hope.
I've daydreamed a few times about what Nov 5 will feel like if he wins, and stuff like that.

It feels pretty good, but I'm a long way from excited. (I was optimistic in 2004 and got burned...)
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hasssan1 Donating Member (439 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 03:33 PM
Response to Original message
12. DONATE TO OBAMA TODAY.DONATE TO OBAMA TODAY.DONATE TO OBAMA TODAY.DONATE TO OBAMA TODAY.DONATE TO OB
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RiverStone Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 03:51 PM
Response to Reply #12
25. I'll second that - no complacency here!
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sandnsea Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 03:33 PM
Response to Original message
13. GOTV
That's what it's all about. None of this means anything if we don't get people to the polls, and watch the polls for any shenanigans.
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Renew Deal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 03:34 PM
Response to Original message
14. As a NY Ranger fan I know better than to get too excited too early.
:hide:
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sazemisery Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 03:35 PM
Response to Original message
15. After 2000 and 2004 it is very hard...
to get excited. I mourned those losses like the loss of an immediate family member. I don't know if my mental stability can take another hit.
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Arkansas Granny Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 03:42 PM
Response to Reply #15
19. Yes, I know the feeling.
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graywarrior Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 03:36 PM
Response to Original message
16. Keep hammering away canvassing and phone banking.
Even if he's at 60%, keep hammering.
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pizoxuat Donating Member (69 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 03:37 PM
Response to Original message
17. I am afraid that people won't feel the need to vote.
I don't want people to become too complacent with a lead in the polls and have that lead to lower numbers voting. We need to have every last person who is able get out and vote for Obama so it'll be harder to steal the election. This is why I am volunteering for a whole bunch of shifts for Obama's GOTV campaign even though I hate cold-calling people.
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grace0418 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 03:47 PM
Response to Reply #17
22. Well, hopefully that will be counteracted by RWers feeling discouraged and not
bothering to vote, especially the ones who aren't crazy about the ticket in the first place.
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calimary Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 03:38 PM
Response to Original message
18. I'm kind of afraid to get excited.
Don't want to jinx anything, dontchaknow.
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democrattotheend Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 03:43 PM
Response to Original message
20. I'm having trouble not getting excited
Even though I agree with you that it is far from a done deal and that Obama needs a buffer against voting irregularities, racism, last-minute negative attacks, and what not.
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kerry-is-my-prez Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 03:44 PM
Response to Original message
21. I won't allow myself to get excited until he's ahead by 15....
n/t
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Pisces Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 03:48 PM
Response to Original message
23. I am excited, however, I am trying to contain it.
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leftynyc Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 03:50 PM
Response to Original message
24. Yeah - me
I've been burned too much and too many times. I'm enjoying watching the polls and I love our candidate but refuse to celebrate until mclame concedes on 11/4.
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DainBramaged Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 03:52 PM
Response to Original message
26. This is the most I've been excited since I went to that bar in ...........
never mind.

I am VERY VERY VERY optimistic. Don't bust my balloon.
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nc4bo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 03:52 PM
Response to Original message
27. Me. I feel good seeing a good poll then the feeling goes away just as quickly.
Won't rest until 11/05/08
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sellitman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 03:53 PM
Response to Original message
28. I don't trust the machines no matter what the polls read.
I won't get excited until the fat lady sings. A 25% lead can be reversed by the machines.
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louis-t Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 03:54 PM
Response to Original message
29. Sad when you have to worry about your candidate
having 'only' an 8-point lead.
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No Elephants Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 03:56 PM
Response to Original message
30. I look at the polls at least once a day. Alone, I get excited when they favor Obama. But I am
Edited on Mon Oct-06-08 03:58 PM by No Elephants
superstitious to say or post it or have anyone else do the same. My son says being a Democrat is like being a Red Sox fan before 2004. (He's always making baseball/politics analogies--pretty good ones, too.)
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Madam Mossfern Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 03:58 PM
Response to Original message
31. I'm a pessimist
just call me Eeyore.


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secondwind Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 03:59 PM
Original message
I'm sleeping better , election-wise.......
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Smarmie Doofus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 03:59 PM
Response to Original message
32. I've been through too many of these to feel "optimistic".
I'd rather be a few points up than a few points down but the other side has many weapons in its arsenal and absolutely no moral/ethical qualms about using them.

Also the reliability of the polls has to at least be questioned since one of the candidates is a member of a long-disdained ethnic minority. That counts for something; I'm not sure how much but *something.*

If the economy were not in a shambles... possibly on the way to a complete meltodown... McCain would be well ahead despite being utterly inferior to Obama in every way.

That's something to think about.
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Kadie Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 04:01 PM
Response to Original message
33. I am happy about the poll numbers, but what makes me very nervous
is that if Sen. Obama's poll numbers stay strong, some people may not show up to vote. Hopefully, no one will take anything for granted.



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OnionPatch Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 04:03 PM
Response to Original message
34. Yeah, I'm afraid to get too excited.
Inside I feel like jumping with joy at the poll numbers. But then I remember all the nasty political tricks the Republicans and their tools in the media have participated in. I'll pop the cork on my champagne when Obama is announced the winner on all the major networks.
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crankychatter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 04:06 PM
Response to Original message
35. take comfort where you can, lean into the wind and trudge like a lead dog
Edited on Mon Oct-06-08 04:07 PM by crankychatter
I can dig it though

you'd have to be very young indeed, not to watch all this with abject terror

this could be the beginning of recovery

or the spark that sets off the worst tyranny in us history

either way... I'm ready
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Claire Beth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 04:09 PM
Response to Original message
36. Cautiously optimistic. The repukes will do
ANYTHING to win this so I hope Obama and campaign will be ready for everything the McSHAME campaign is going throw out. So far the Obama campaign has done very good and appropriately responding.
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damntexdem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 04:11 PM
Response to Original message
37. Hey, this champagne is flat!
And the confetti isn't colorful enough.

And, yes, there is both the Bradley Effect and election fraud (vote caging as well as machine fraud).
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jzodda Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 04:12 PM
Response to Original message
38. I'm far more worried about rascists then voter machine fraud
More specifically the closet racists who would lie to or just not be polled. I assume the republican party is filled with racists anyway but I am worried about the ones in our own party or who are independents. Will so many of them come out on election day just to vote against a black man?

That is what worries me in the end, that in the end it will be all about race. Are we a more enlightened country circa 2008? I hope so, and I hope to be proud on election night of how far we have come and where we are headed. But I am wondering.

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suston96 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 04:12 PM
Response to Original message
39. Yeah, excited, but........
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Pattib Donating Member (396 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 04:15 PM
Response to Original message
40. Cautiously optimistic here. I still remember the exit polls from 2004, I thought Kerry had it then.
This time I am excited but with more caution.
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agent46 Donating Member (424 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 04:17 PM
Response to Original message
41. I do not hope n/t
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BlueIdaho Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 04:18 PM
Response to Original message
42. Check with me on November 5th - I'm busy now. nm.
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TooRaLoo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 04:19 PM
Response to Original message
43. No trouble here. nt
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