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A Double Dose of Bad News for McCain in Virginia

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babylonsister Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 05:01 PM
Original message
A Double Dose of Bad News for McCain in Virginia
Edited on Mon Oct-06-08 05:15 PM by babylonsister
:applause:

A Double Dose of Bad News for McCain in Virginia
By Matthew DeLong 10/6/08 5:28 PM


A pair of new polls reveal the McCain campaign has some major problems emerging in the typically red state of Virginia. The first poll, from Suffolk University, found Sen. Barack Obama holding a whopping 12-percentage point lead over Sen. John McCain in the commonwealth. From The Boston Globe:

Obama leads McCain 51 percent to 39 percent among likely voters, the Suffolk University poll found, echoing other recent polls that show the Democrat surging in battleground states.

“Barack Obama has built a coalition of suburban DC-area progressives from the north, African-American voters from the south, and young voters statewide,” David Paleologos, director of the Political Research Center at Suffolk University in Boston, said in a statement. “That broad-based support suggests a 44-year Republican run in the Old Dominion State, dating back to Lyndon Johnson’s victory in 1964, is in jeopardy.”

The poll suggests that last Thursday’s vice presidential debate helped the Democratic ticket. Three-fourths of likely voters watched the debate, which tied for the second most-watched debate ever, and 46 percent said Democrat Joe Biden bested Republican Sarah Palin, while 26 percent said Palin won and 20 percent said neither did. One-third of respondents said the debate made them more likely to vote Obama, while 18 percent said they were more likely to support McCain, and 47 percent said the debate didn’t affect their decision…

The poll was conducted Friday through Sunday and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points, Suffolk said.


At first glimpse, this poll seems to be what the McCain campaign likes to refer to as an “outlier.” Surely, the race must be much closer.

Then along comes this SurveyUSA poll of Virginians, which found Obama leading McCain in the state by a margin of 53 percent to 43 percent. The survey has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.9 percent.

According to SurveyUSA, Obama has made remarkable gains among white men, turning a 10-point deficit just after the Republican National Convention into an 11-point lead. That’s a 21-point reversal.


more...

http://washingtonindependent.com/10687/a-double-dose-of-bad-news-for-mccain-in-virginia
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PetrusMonsFormicarum Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 05:11 PM
Response to Original message
1. Pretty amazing
what 80-dollar fillups, ballooning payments, and flayed retirement accounts can do to make a person feel like there's a better way.




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Qutzupalotl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 06:23 PM
Response to Reply #1
8. The debates helped too.
Instead of the scary caricature, here was this nice, reasonable, smart guy.
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pleah Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 05:15 PM
Response to Original message
2. This seems to be the trend across the country. I think that is
what is making McCrazy so desperate.

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theothersnippywshrub Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 05:36 PM
Response to Reply #2
5. I think you are right about McCain.
I worry constantly that the pollsters are wrong in their turnout models or something, but McCain is acting so bat-shit crazy desperate that it is obvious that his polls show the same overwhelming trend.
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pleah Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 05:51 PM
Response to Reply #5
7. Welcome and thanks.
:hi:
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FrenchieCat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 05:17 PM
Response to Original message
3. That's the Palin effect......
Guys wanna DO her, but don't wanna vote for her.
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The River Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 05:22 PM
Response to Original message
4. I Love That We've Become a Battleground
and can no longer be considered safe for Repugs.
I just hope we can get rid of Goode,(R)racist in the 5th district too.
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Phredicles Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 05:37 PM
Response to Original message
6. Maybe a lot of Virginians don't enjoy being canvassed by Liberty Univershitheads?
I know I wouldn't.
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diane in sf Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 08:22 PM
Response to Original message
9. That's great news because likely voters doesn't include all the new voters
and probably undercounts all those young cell phone users.
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Elidor Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Oct-06-08 08:28 PM
Response to Original message
10. Now that's what we in the South call an Old Fashioned Ass-Whuppin'
If Obama wins by 10%, that will be very impressive. Kudos to everyone on the ground in Virginia.

Just two years ago, George Allen was considered a favorite for the republican nomination. What a turnaround!
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leveymg Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-07-08 03:30 AM
Response to Reply #10
11. What's a kudo - does it come in chocolate? I'll try one!
On the ground five days a week, six hours a day, rain or shine, clipboard and pen in hand!

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Imagevision Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-07-08 03:45 AM
Response to Original message
12. Thank you Sarah, thank you so much... and John thank you also...
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Eurobabe Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-07-08 04:05 AM
Response to Original message
13. The SURGE is working
The Obama surge that is....Va is gonna go blue!!
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