:applause:
A Double Dose of Bad News for McCain in Virginia
By Matthew DeLong 10/6/08 5:28 PM
A pair of new polls reveal the McCain campaign has some major problems emerging in the typically red state of Virginia.
The first poll, from Suffolk University, found Sen. Barack Obama holding a whopping 12-percentage point lead over Sen. John McCain in the commonwealth. From The Boston Globe:
Obama leads McCain 51 percent to 39 percent among likely voters, the Suffolk University poll found, echoing other recent polls that show the Democrat surging in battleground states.
“Barack Obama has built a coalition of suburban DC-area progressives from the north, African-American voters from the south, and young voters statewide,” David Paleologos, director of the Political Research Center at Suffolk University in Boston, said in a statement. “That broad-based support suggests a 44-year Republican run in the Old Dominion State, dating back to Lyndon Johnson’s victory in 1964, is in jeopardy.”
The poll suggests that last Thursday’s vice presidential debate helped the Democratic ticket. Three-fourths of likely voters watched the debate, which tied for the second most-watched debate ever, and 46 percent said Democrat Joe Biden bested Republican Sarah Palin, while 26 percent said Palin won and 20 percent said neither did. One-third of respondents said the debate made them more likely to vote Obama, while 18 percent said they were more likely to support McCain, and 47 percent said the debate didn’t affect their decision…
The poll was conducted Friday through Sunday and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points, Suffolk said.
At first glimpse, this poll seems to be what the McCain campaign likes to refer to as an “outlier.” Surely, the race must be much closer.
Then along comes this SurveyUSA poll of Virginians, which found Obama leading McCain in the state by a margin of 53 percent to 43 percent. The survey has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.9 percent.According to SurveyUSA,
Obama has made remarkable gains among white men, turning a 10-point deficit just after the Republican National Convention into an 11-point lead. That’s a 21-point reversal. more...
http://washingtonindependent.com/10687/a-double-dose-of-bad-news-for-mccain-in-virginia